The Shadow Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

15.28 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0460
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0668
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +24.22 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0668

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

10.82 $

at 5.41

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) — 7.23 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +21.36 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.86 $

at 2.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.06 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.78 $ +2.92 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0548
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 6.90 $ +4.04 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0974

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

5.78 $

at 5.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.60 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 30.98 $ +25.20 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.73 $ +17.63 (+50.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2.09 $

at 2.09

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) — 2.55 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.1231
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear) — 2.93 $ +0.83 $ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.1108
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear) — 6.00 $ +3.91 $ per item · on the market 137 · buy 0.0700–0.1108

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

5.09 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0473
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0687
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +24.22 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0687

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

5.71 $

at 2.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.06 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0700–0.1251
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.78 $ +2.92 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0563
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 6.90 $ +4.04 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1001

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

28.90 $

at 5.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.60 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 30.98 $ +25.20 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.80 $ +10.58 (+25.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

5.09 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0472
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0686
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +24.22 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0686

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

8.57 $

at 2.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.06 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0700–0.1249
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.78 $ +2.92 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 6.90 $ +4.04 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0999

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

28.90 $

at 5.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.60 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 30.98 $ +25.20 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.56 $ +9.82 (+23.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

12.73 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0468
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0679
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +24.22 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0679

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2.33 $

at 2.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 2.76 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.1500–0.1678
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 2.86 $ +0.53 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.1023
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 6.90 $ +4.57 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.1342

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

23.12 $

at 5.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.60 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 30.98 $ +25.20 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.18 $ +14.19 (+37.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

10.18 $

at 2.55

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) — 5.41 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0466
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New) — 6.43 $ +3.88 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0677
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) — 26.77 $ +24.22 $ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.71 $

at 2.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.06 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0700–0.1233
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.78 $ +2.92 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0554
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 6.90 $ +4.04 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0700–0.0986

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

23.12 $

at 5.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.60 $ +1.82 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.87 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 30.98 $ +25.20 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.02 $ +13.35 (+34.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122.29 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

32.12 $ 26.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

26.20 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

78.36 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044705

74.45 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.035294

27.92 $ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 15.28 → 38.34 $

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 10.82 → 23.90 $

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.86 → 6.17 $

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5.78 → 12.49 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.058823429

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.052941, 0.037646, 0.058823, 0.044705, 0.035294

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.51 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3310976 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.67$ · invest 34.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.074310
Craft 3314071 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 17.21$ · invest 30.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074822 instead of 0.074310
Craft 3296342 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.02$ · invest 32.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New), MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074301 instead of 0.074310

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build