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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −5 499.55₸

Invest at least 11 235.81₸

Average return 5 736.27₸

ROI −49.0%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 11 235.81 ₸, profit at most −5 499.55 ₸

float premium: at least 6 330 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

261.00 ₸

at 261.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 348.21 ₸ +87.20 ₸ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.0991
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 475.20 ₸ +214.20 ₸ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 536.58 ₸ +275.57 ₸ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0991

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2 785.65 ₸

at 348.21

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 536.58 ₸ +188.37 ₸ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 1 082.42 ₸ +734.22 ₸ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0552
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 1 806.65 ₸ +1 458.45 ₸ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0636

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0835

1 600.57 ₸

at 1 600.57

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +425.09 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 4 636.18 ₸ +3 035.61 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.1000–0.1013
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 5 384.86 ₸ +3 784.29 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 647.22 ₸ +1 089.05 (+23.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

783.01 ₸

at 261.00

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) — 348.21 ₸ +87.20 ₸ per item · on the market 512 · buy 0.0700–0.1007
FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear) — 475.20 ₸ +214.20 ₸ per item · on the market 631 · buy 0.0700–0.0866
Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 536.58 ₸ +275.57 ₸ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.1007

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1 741.03 ₸

at 348.21

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear) — 536.58 ₸ +188.37 ₸ per item · on the market 956 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) — 1 082.42 ₸ +734.22 ₸ per item · on the market 586 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 1 806.65 ₸ +1 458.45 ₸ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0646

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0845

3 201.13 ₸

at 1 600.57

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 025.66 ₸ +425.09 ₸ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 4 636.18 ₸ +3 035.61 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.1000–0.1017
Negev | Bratatat (Factory New) — 5 384.86 ₸ +3 784.29 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 725.17 ₸ +263.98 (+4.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 376.72 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 837.84 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

7 703.03 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

2 324.69 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

17 606.95 ₸ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

19 302.83 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

5 086.77 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 749.75 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +276.68 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +839.03 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3310473 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 1 172.11₸ · invest 5 474.77₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074366 instead of 0.074047; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074366 instead of 0.074047

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build