The Vanguard Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

98.23 ₽

at 98.23

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 123.87 ₽ +25.64 ₽ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1067
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +106.52 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1293
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +164.39 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

990.96 ₽

at 123.87

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +80.88 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +132.32 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0224
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +138.75 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Nightshade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

204.82 ₽

at 204.82

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 205.41 ₽ +0.59 ₽ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) — 238.00 ₽ +33.18 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0593
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 248.55 ₽ +43.73 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0415

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 294.01 ₽ +939.65 (+72.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

743.22 ₽

at 123.87

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +80.88 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0835
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +132.32 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0251
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +138.75 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

150.00 ₽

at 150.00

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested) — 192.14 ₽ +42.14 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1668
Nova | Ghost Camo (Minimal Wear) — 218.50 ₽ +68.50 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1334
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 228.13 ₽ +78.13 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0934

Steam

×3

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

714.00 ₽

at 238.00

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 248.55 ₽ +10.55 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +18.19 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 485.55 ₽ +247.55 ₽ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0000–0.0025

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 607.22 ₽ +327.75 (+20.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

147.56 ₽

at 73.78

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 98.23 ₽ +24.45 ₽ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1120
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 123.87 ₽ +50.09 ₽ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1306
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +188.84 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0609

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

371.61 ₽

at 123.87

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +80.88 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +132.32 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +138.75 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

×5

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 190.00 ₽

at 238.00

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 248.55 ₽ +10.55 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0031
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +18.19 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 485.55 ₽ +247.55 ₽ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0000–0.0022

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 709.17 ₽ +126.23 (+7.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

867.09 ₽

at 123.87

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +80.88 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +132.32 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +138.75 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0126

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

150.00 ₽

at 150.00

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested) — 192.14 ₽ +42.14 ₽ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
Nova | Ghost Camo (Minimal Wear) — 218.50 ₽ +68.50 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1306
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Minimal Wear) — 228.13 ₽ +78.13 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0914

Steam

×2

Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

476.00 ₽

at 238.00

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 248.55 ₽ +10.55 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +18.19 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 485.55 ₽ +247.55 ₽ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0000–0.0020

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 493.09 ₽ +541.44 (+36.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

990.96 ₽

at 123.87

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 204.75 ₽ +80.88 ₽ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0815
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 256.19 ₽ +132.32 ₽ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0231
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 262.62 ₽ +138.75 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Nightshade

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

409.64 ₽

at 204.82

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 205.41 ₽ +0.59 ₽ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) — 238.00 ₽ +33.18 ₽ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0596
G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 248.55 ₽ +43.73 ₽ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0417

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 400.60 ₽ +733.50 (+52.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

767.56 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

7 005.74 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 525.28 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

434.28 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

2 302.72 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

773.69 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +489.64 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +732.37 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3285032 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 966.41₽ · invest 1 279.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074941 instead of 0.074154; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074941 instead of 0.074154
Craft 3315110 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 947.45₽ · invest 1 239.19₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074154; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074154
Craft 3315080 · The Vanguard Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 940.51₽ · invest 1 269.42₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074154; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074154
Craft 3311270 · The Overpass Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 923.80₽ · invest 1 441.86₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074154; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074154
Craft 3285619 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 918.72₽ · invest 1 506.26₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3288609 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 910.40₽ · invest 1 333.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074154; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074154

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build