The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −438 206.63₸

Invest at least 1 596 707.43₸

Average return 1 158 500.79₸

ROI −27.4%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 1 596 707.43 ₸, profit at most −438 206.63 ₸

float premium: at least 875 504 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +579 777.70 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −643 498.74 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

204 605.85 ₸

at 102 302.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 131 593.02 ₸ +29 290.10 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

506 428.53 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 711 034.38 ₸ +447 466.41 (+62.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

102 302.93 ₸

at 102 302.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 131 593.02 ₸ +29 290.10 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

675 238.04 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 777 540.96 ₸ +579 777.70 (+74.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.9% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

306 908.78 ₸

at 102 302.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 131 593.02 ₸ +29 290.10 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

337 619.02 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 644 527.80 ₸ +315 155.18 (+48.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.8% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

409 211.71 ₸

at 102 302.93

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 131 593.02 ₸ +29 290.10 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

168 809.51 ₸

at 168 809.51

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 247 631.51 ₸ +78 822.01 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 578 021.22 ₸ +182 843.89 (+31.6%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 66%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

839 979.84 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

535 678.44 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

454 989.07 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

445 546.78 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

587 094.61 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

315 181.50 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

401 061.12 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 986 615.30 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

582 809.17 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

382 627.45 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

423 140.94 ₸ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

621 216.76 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

337 211.81 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

301 781.39 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383 356.70 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

519 252.49 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 848.23 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 453 317.27 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343 751.01 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

973 636.93 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

513 170.94 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

234 077.97 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

848 532.67 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371 525.98 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220 447.38 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 934 884.10 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 189 393.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 601 199.68 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 485 494.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 626 456.94 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 949.45 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

137 630.41 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 614.65 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

157 693.41 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +438 167.45 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +445 857.45 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316227 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 482 648.86₸ · invest 689 199.78₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316228 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 482 648.86₸ · invest 689 199.78₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3315741 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 447 466.42₸ · invest 711 034.38₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3316573 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 394 242.79₸ · invest 622 914.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316574 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 394 242.79₸ · invest 622 914.57₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316503 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 381 772.75₸ · invest 640 483.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316504 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 381 772.75₸ · invest 640 483.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316563 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 373 900.93₸ · invest 625 809.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316564 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 373 900.93₸ · invest 625 809.94₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3315667 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 371 804.94₸ · invest 645 352.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3315668 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 371 804.94₸ · invest 645 352.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3315885 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 369 288.53₸ · invest 641 480.26₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3315886 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 369 288.53₸ · invest 641 480.26₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316559 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 369 272.96₸ · invest 604 401.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316560 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 369 272.96₸ · invest 604 401.42₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316565 · The Spectrum Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 368 750.53₸ · invest 630 960.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316566 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 368 750.53₸ · invest 630 960.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316547 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 364 943.83₸ · invest 614 478.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316548 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 364 943.83₸ · invest 614 478.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316473 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 362 833.96₸ · invest 659 422.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756
Craft 3316474 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 362 833.96₸ · invest 659 422.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.008445 instead of 0.006756

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build