Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3315779 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(2% of this wear's listings)
29 111.56 ₽
at 7 277.89
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 42 000.43 ₽+34 722.54 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0127
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.012796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 46 967.33 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 216 · from 10 373.72 ₽ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(1% of this wear's listings)
18 535.84 ₽
at 18 535.84
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 842.79 ₽+5 306.95 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0150
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.016379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs47 647.40 ₽
−19 251.11
(−40.4%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(2% of this wear's listings)
21 833.67 ₽
at 7 277.89
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 42 000.43 ₽+34 722.54 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0121
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.012152wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 46 967.33 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 216 · from 10 373.72 ₽ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(1% of this wear's listings)
37 071.68 ₽
at 18 535.84
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 842.79 ₽+5 306.95 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0143
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.015555wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs58 905.35 ₽
−12 149.39
(−20.6%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(2% of this wear's listings)
14 555.78 ₽
at 7 277.89
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 42 000.43 ₽+34 722.54 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.011569wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 46 967.33 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 216 · from 10 373.72 ₽ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(1% of this wear's listings)
55 607.52 ₽
at 18 535.84
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 842.79 ₽+5 306.95 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0136
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.014809wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs70 163.30 ₽
−5 047.66
(−7.2%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −4 024 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −4 024 ₽: ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(2% of this wear's listings)
7 277.89 ₽
at 7 277.89
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 42 000.43 ₽+34 722.54 ₽ per item · on the market 17 · buy0.0000–0.0110
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 46 967.33 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 216 · from 10 373.72 ₽ (float 0.0069) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(1% of this wear's listings)
74 143.36 ₽
at 18 535.84
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 842.79 ₽+5 306.95 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0130
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 16 161.83 ₽sells 14 a weeknow 18 586.10 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 19 505.05 ₽sell now to a buy order: 16 723.74 ₽
(you get 14 542.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 915
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 568.64 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 17 070.88 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 13 863.70 ₽listings: 81
on CS.Money: ~ 15 012.08 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 850.59 ₽listings: 55
month average 21 121.26 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 15 263.83 ₽
(you get 13 272.89 ₽)) · buy orders: 367
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 415.24 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 902.68 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 14 137.75 ₽listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 15 023.50 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 735.59 ₽listings: 52
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 23 198.48 ₽sell now to a buy order: 22 968.78 ₽
(you get 19 972.85 ₽)) · buy orders: 195not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 783.50 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 638.41 ₽
(you get 12 729.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 134Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 15 414.99 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 17 896.07 ₽listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 376.76 ₽sell now to a buy order: 22 376.23 ₽
(you get 19 457.59 ₽)) · buy orders: 158not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 32 624.32 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 10 696.91 ₽
(you get 9 301.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 111Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 606.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 500.12 ₽
(you get 10 869.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Night (Factory New)net 9 290.55 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 684.13 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 631.18 ₽
(you get 9 244.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 30 682.35 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 722.78 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 688.77 ₽
(you get 5 816.32 ₽)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 11 504.02 ₽
(you get 10 003.49 ₽)) · buy orders: 47not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 12 566.80 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 504.69 ₽
(you get 10 873.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 33not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 7 401.19 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 8 365.81 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 856.76 ₽
(you get 5 962.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 1157
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 114.31 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 704.29 · lots 17
on CSFloat: from 5 794.89 ₽listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 6 726.32 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 5 926.21 ₽listings: 54
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 149 148.59 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152 192.44 ₽listings 289 · you get 149 148.59 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 164 309.06 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 180 163.45 · lots 19price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 152 192.44 ₽listings: 289
on CS.Money: ~ 174 902.22 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 168 836.55 ₽listings: 189
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 95 116.19 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 97 057.34 ₽listings 149 · you get 95 116.19 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 113 630.51 ₽
(you get 98 809.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 1359
sell on Market.CSGO: 99 315.88 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 108 899.00 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 97 057.34 ₽listings: 149
on CS.Money: ~ 117 889.60 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 100 382.58 ₽listings: 71
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 80 788.81 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 82 437.57 ₽listings 10 · you get 80 788.81 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 82 437.57 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 97 964.30 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 98 151.07 ₽listings: 15
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 726.76 ₽sell now to a buy order: 80 807.53 ₽
(you get 70 267.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 362Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 66 472.05 ₽listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 76 828.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 74 938.06 ₽listings: 19
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 104 245.75 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 106 373.22 ₽listings 23 · you get 104 245.75 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 131 509.22 ₽
(you get 114 355.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 413Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 106 373.22 ₽listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 108 912.20 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 114 512.98 ₽listings: 24
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 55 964.29 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 106.42 ₽listings 5 · you get 55 964.29 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 273.83 ₽
(you get 48 933.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 129Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 57 106.42 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 50 818.90 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 71 213.25 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 72 666.59 ₽listings 4 · you get 71 213.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 72 794.89 ₽
(you get 63 299.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 72 666.59 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 72 296.30 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 352 747.59 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 359 946.53 ₽listings 3 · you get 352 747.59 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 163 117.91 ₽
(you get 141 841.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 359 946.53 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 355 381.57 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 381 265.71 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 103 484.82 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 105 596.76 ₽listings 6 · you get 103 484.82 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 97 870.00 ₽
(you get 85 104.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 105 596.76 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 67 940.13 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 69 326.67 ₽listings 6 · you get 67 940.13 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 68 567.61 ₽
(you get 59 624.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 69 326.67 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 41 734.03 ₽
(you get 36 290.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 58 448.91 ₽listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 75 133.79 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 76 667.14 ₽listings 9 · you get 75 133.79 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 62 505.18 ₽
(you get 54 352.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 76 667.14 ₽listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 88 381.72 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ Butterfly Knifenet 97 874.50 ₽The Breakout Collectionsells 4 a weeknow 112 555.67 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 121 411.31 ₽sell now to a buy order: 103 096.11 ₽
(you get 89 648.79 ₽)) · buy orders: 3462
sell on Market.CSGO: 102 143.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 111 999.99 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 85 894.12 ₽listings: 82
on CS.Money: ~ 102 490.11 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 91 188.23 ₽listings: 97
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 412% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3729 111.56 → 68 848.84 ₽
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 112% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1618 535.84 → 40 037.41 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−20 476.16 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−19 608.17 ₽historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3315780
· The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −19 251.11₽
· invest 47 647.40₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.