Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3315841 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(2% of this wear's listings)
264.50 $
at 264.50
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.87 $+40.37 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 492.32 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 103 · from 514.66 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
246.30 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $+94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0203
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.60 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 159 · from 124.80 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs510.81 $
−345.45
(−67.6%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(7% of this wear's listings)
1 058.01 $
at 264.50
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.87 $+40.37 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 521.17 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 103 · from 514.66 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
61.58 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $+94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0255
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.60 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 159 · from 124.80 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs1 119.59 $
−1 016.01
(−90.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(7% of this wear's listings)
793.51 $
at 264.50
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.87 $+40.37 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 521.17 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 103 · from 514.66 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
123.15 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $+94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0233
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.60 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 159 · from 124.80 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs916.66 $
−792.49
(−86.5%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(2% of this wear's listings)
529.01 $
at 264.50
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.87 $+40.37 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 492.32 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 103 · from 514.66 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
184.73 $
at 61.58
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 156.41 $+94.84 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0216
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 275.60 $ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 159 · from 124.80 $ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 243.50 $The CS20 Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 280.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 329.76 $sell now to a buy order: 278.85 $
(you get 242.48 $)) · buy orders: 572
sell on Market.CSGO: 234.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 257.48 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 220.03 $listings: 114
on CS.Money: ~ 244.99 $
on Lis-Skins: from 241.72 $listings: 68
month average 240.95 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 199.99 $
(you get 173.90 $)) · buy orders: 325
sell on Market.CSGO: 175.81 $ to your card
cheapest lot 192.77 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 163.85 $listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 182.42 $
on Lis-Skins: from 161.48 $listings: 38
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 196.14 $sell now to a buy order: 196.19 $
(you get 170.60 $)) · buy orders: 166
sell on Market.CSGO: 238.78 $ to your card
cheapest lot 261.82 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 211.98 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 200.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 213.53 $listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 167.32 $sell now to a buy order: 162.38 $
(you get 141.20 $)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 180.29 $ to your card
cheapest lot 197.69 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 183.65 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 162.78 $
on Lis-Skins: from 177.91 $listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 344.63 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 374.11 $ to your card
cheapest lot 410.21 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 318.46 $listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 343.67 $
on Lis-Skins: from 352.41 $listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.34 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.39 $listings 3 · you get 149.34 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 82.01 $
(you get 71.31 $)) · buy orders: 78not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 152.39 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 175.88 $sell now to a buy order: 174.99 $
(you get 152.16 $)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 211.65 $
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 540.08 $sell now to a buy order: 538.72 $
(you get 468.45 $)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 875.67 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 1 003.67 $listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 259.07 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264.36 $listings 4 · you get 259.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 183.98 $
(you get 159.98 $)) · buy orders: 50not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 264.36 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 166.38 $sell now to a buy order: 166.40 $
(you get 144.70 $)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 159.28 $listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 153.00 $
(you get 133.05 $)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 286.80 $listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)The CS20 Collectionsell now to a buy order: 199.99 $
(you get 173.90 $)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 172.90 $The CS20 Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 198.83 $ — cheaper than the month average 238.02 $sell now to a buy order: 193.30 $
(you get 168.09 $)) · buy orders: 1056
sell on Market.CSGO: 164.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 180.66 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 171.52 $listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 186.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 163.62 $listings: 48
now 169.57 $ — cheaper than the month average 184.24 $sell now to a buy order: 151.49 $
(you get 131.73 $)) · buy orders: 639
sell on Market.CSGO: 132.68 $ to your card
cheapest lot 145.48 · lots 23price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 125.30 $listings: 83
on CS.Money: ~ 126.98 $
on Lis-Skins: from 123.41 $listings: 81
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 107.22 $sells 2 a weekmonth average 123.30 $, sold 20 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 111.63 $
(you get 97.07 $)) · buy orders: 335
sell on Market.CSGO: 92.46 $ to your card
cheapest lot 101.38 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 92.99 $listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 94.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 93.66 $listings: 64
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 124.87 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 143.60 $sell now to a buy order: 142.72 $
(you get 124.10 $)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 178.35 $ to your card
cheapest lot 195.56 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 161.30 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 184.78 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 188.49 $sell now to a buy order: 110.00 $
(you get 95.65 $)) · buy orders: 120not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 141.95 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 167.19 $
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 165.13 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.90 $sell now to a buy order: 189.92 $
(you get 165.15 $)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 241.99 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 218.16 $
on Lis-Skins: from 240.86 $listings: 7
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 72.14 $
(you get 62.73 $)) · buy orders: 50not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 92.45 $sell now to a buy order: 91.98 $
(you get 79.99 $)) · buy orders: 105Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 250.09 $
(you get 217.47 $)) · buy orders: 139
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 181.83 $ to your card
cheapest lot 12 260.78 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 467.23 $listings: 4
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 149.99 $
(you get 130.43 $)) · buy orders: 140not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 52.28 $sell now to a buy order: 53.06 $
(you get 46.14 $)) · buy orders: 92not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 89.67 $sell now to a buy order: 89.22 $
(you get 77.58 $)) · buy orders: 122Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 170.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 130.34 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 121.34 $sell now to a buy order: 121.36 $
(you get 105.53 $)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 119.99 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 126.30 $listings: 4
Steam★ Shadow Daggersnet 60.89 $sells 17 a weeknow 70.03 $ — cheaper than the month average 81.43 $sell now to a buy order: 68.25 $
(you get 59.35 $)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 61.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 67.79 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 60.46 $listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 62.73 $
on Lis-Skins: from 60.05 $listings: 71
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16264.50 → 571.33 $
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37246.30 → 582.51 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Shadow Collection + The CS20 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−363.07 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−348.21 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3315842
· The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −345.45$
· invest 510.81$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.