The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −37 817.12₴

Invest at least 155 489.56₴

Average return 117 672.44₴

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 16%

With float: invest at least 155 489.56 ₴, profit at most −37 817.12 ₴

float premium: at least 85 445 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +59 985.44 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −60 992.26 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

50 853.56 ₴

at 16 951.19

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 24 866.18 ₴ +7 915.00 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

18 353.17 ₴

at 9 176.59

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 144.94 ₴ +2 968.35 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 69 206.74 ₴ +48 465.70 (+70.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

16 951.19 ₴

at 16 951.19

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 24 866.18 ₴ +7 915.00 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

36 706.34 ₴

at 9 176.59

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 144.94 ₴ +2 968.35 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 53 657.53 ₴ +25 426.23 (+47.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

33 902.38 ₴

at 16 951.19

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 24 866.18 ₴ +7 915.00 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

27 529.76 ₴

at 9 176.59

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 144.94 ₴ +2 968.35 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 61 432.13 ₴ +36 945.96 (+60.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.6% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

67 804.75 ₴

at 16 951.19

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 24 866.18 ₴ +7 915.00 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 176.59 ₴

at 9 176.59

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 144.94 ₴ +2 968.35 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 76 981.34 ₴ +59 985.44 (+77.9%)

What you get 46 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 7%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 861.49 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 303.70 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 495.17 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 141.30 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 607.50 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

246 352.48 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 518.13 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 768.80 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 530.61 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 505.19 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 206.32 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 307.18 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 136.46 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194 293.46 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 324 427.13 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

361 618.33 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 167.56 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966 651.00 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 090.62 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 820.31 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 939.94 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 834.95 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 583.78 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 515.25 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 366.79 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.82%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 389.20 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 986.59 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 986.19 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 205.06 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 583.78 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 808.99 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 238.01 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 613.86 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201 150.19 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 082.56 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 785.98 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 744.95 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 885.67 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 873.97 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 260.17 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 515.76 ₴ 1.82%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 843.09 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 432.33 ₴ 1.82%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48 010.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +48 385.84 ₴ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3316228 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 48 465.70₴ · invest 69 206.74₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3315741 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 44 932.82₴ · invest 71 399.28₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315742 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 44 932.82₴ · invest 71 399.28₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316573 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 39 588.31₴ · invest 62 550.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316574 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 39 588.31₴ · invest 62 550.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005334 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316503 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 38 336.12₴ · invest 64 314.83₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316504 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 38 336.12₴ · invest 64 314.83₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006963 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316563 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 37 545.66₴ · invest 62 841.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316564 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 37 545.66₴ · invest 62 841.38₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315667 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 37 335.19₴ · invest 64 803.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315668 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 37 335.19₴ · invest 64 803.76₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315885 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 37 082.50₴ · invest 64 414.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3315886 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 37 082.50₴ · invest 64 414.93₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006469 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316559 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 37 080.94₴ · invest 60 691.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316560 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 37 080.94₴ · invest 60 691.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316565 · The Spectrum Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 37 028.48₴ · invest 63 358.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316566 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 37 028.48₴ · invest 63 358.56₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007628 instead of 0.008445
Craft 3316547 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 36 646.23₴ · invest 61 703.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316548 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 36 646.23₴ · invest 61 703.47₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316473 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 36 434.36₴ · invest 66 216.58₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)
Craft 3316474 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 36 434.36₴ · invest 66 216.58₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 46 outcomes

More

How to build