StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3318457 · ways to build: 2StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈9≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
Battle-Scarred
any lot
186 348.19 ₸
at 62 116.06
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) — 68 989.94 ₸+6 873.88 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9900on the market 9 · good ≈ 9Lis-Skins: suitable 29 of 29 · from 47 877.97 ₸ (float 0.7083) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Well-Worn
any lot
185 446.85 ₸
at 92 723.42
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 93 737.63 ₸+1 014.21 ₸ per item · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.489130wear 0.3800–0.4500on the market 11 · good ≈ 11Lis-Skins: suitable 17 of 17 · from 66 712.23 ₸ (float 0.4012) · craft not before 30.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs371 795.04 ₸
−156 234.19
(−42.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Share of fitting lots unknown:not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
Battle-Scarred
buy0.4500–0.9627
248 464.25 ₸
at 62 116.06
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) — 68 989.94 ₸+6 873.88 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy0.1500–0.3800
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 848 709.39 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 866 030.01 ₸listings 44 · you get 848 709.39 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 900 279.65 ₸
(you get 782 851.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 739
sell on Market.CSGO: 939 617.28 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 1 030 282.15 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 866 030.01 ₸listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 936 523.49 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 945 530.98 ₸listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 630 337.17 ₸sell now to a buy order: 627 164.13 ₸
(you get 545 360.11 ₸)) · buy orders: 331
sell on Market.CSGO: 530 987.35 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 582 222.98 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 557 708.81 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 527 791.84 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 610 250.28 ₸listings: 9
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 314 476.04 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 320 893.92 ₸listings 10 · you get 314 476.04 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 313 205.35 ₸
(you get 272 352.43 ₸)) · buy orders: 154Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 320 893.92 ₸listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 333 781.69 ₸listings: 7
BS costs more than FT: 301 537.61 ₸ versus 289 760.31 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 301 537.61 ₸sell now to a buy order: 300 014.20 ₸
(you get 260 881.89 ₸)) · buy orders: 246
sell on Market.CSGO: 239 854.97 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 262 998.89 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 225 075.00 ₸listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 264 580.14 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 235 824.58 ₸listings: 17
BS costs more than FT: 419 351.30 ₸ versus 387 391.57 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 419 351.30 ₸sell now to a buy order: 419 441.42 ₸
(you get 364 731.63 ₸)) · buy orders: 360
sell on Market.CSGO: 380 306.57 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 417 002.82 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 343 572.46 ₸listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 376 451.42 ₸listings: 8
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 181 448.69 ₸sell now to a buy order: 180 536.64 ₸
(you get 156 988.33 ₸)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 208 977.61 ₸listings: 8
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 163 343.46 ₸sell now to a buy order: 178 334.54 ₸
(you get 155 073.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 204 822.76 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 217 615.98 ₸listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 258 512.06 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 263 787.86 ₸listings 5 · you get 258 512.06 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternBS costs more than WW: 285 656.18 ₸ versus 263 787.86 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWsell now to a buy order: 297 774.12 ₸
(you get 258 934.00 ₸)) · buy orders: 149
sell on Market.CSGO: 371 558.59 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 407 410.79 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 285 656.18 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 259 380.89 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 283 846.54 ₸listings: 14
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 213 301.79 ₸sell now to a buy order: 211 643.16 ₸
(you get 184 037.52 ₸)) · buy orders: 141
sell on Market.CSGO: 234 511.06 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 257 139.32 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 211 570.47 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 217 624.97 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 229 360.38 ₸listings: 11
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 185 603.70 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 189 391.58 ₸listings 3 · you get 185 603.70 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 194 520.19 ₸
(you get 169 147.95 ₸)) · buy orders: 162
sell on Market.CSGO: 256 338.05 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 281 072.43 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 189 391.58 ₸listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 205 664.49 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 208 171.86 ₸listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 266 728.76 ₸ versus 233 895.56 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 266 728.76 ₸sell now to a buy order: 266 776.17 ₸
(you get 231 979.24 ₸)) · buy orders: 169Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 183 661.17 ₸listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 193 100.81 ₸listings: 12
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 183 124.65 ₸sell now to a buy order: 182 814.30 ₸
(you get 158 968.95 ₸)) · buy orders: 228
sell on Market.CSGO: 212 981.40 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 233 532.29 · lots 5CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 206 474.76 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 200 199.71 ₸listings: 13
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 442 995.31 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 452 036.08 ₸listings 19 · you get 442 995.31 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 631 117.15 ₸
(you get 548 797.52 ₸)) · buy orders: 565
sell on Market.CSGO: 478 129.46 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 524 264.80 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 452 036.08 ₸listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 531 329.98 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 451 036.78 ₸listings: 35
now 249 999.64 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 257 461.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 202 078.89 ₸
(you get 175 720.76 ₸)) · buy orders: 885
sell on Market.CSGO: 202 800.91 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 222 369.44 · lots 34price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 171 376.60 ₸listings: 71
on CS.Money: ~ 178 601.50 ₸
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 220 838.41 ₸sell now to a buy order: 220 879.86 ₸
(you get 192 069.44 ₸)) · buy orders: 529
sell on Market.CSGO: 173 456.29 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 190 193.30 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 161 032.13 ₸listings: 25
on CS.Money: ~ 173 190.70 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 166 879.61 ₸listings: 52
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 145 669.90 ₸sell now to a buy order: 144 941.97 ₸
(you get 126 036.46 ₸)) · buy orders: 356
sell on Market.CSGO: 127 526.15 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 139 831.36 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 116 138.67 ₸listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 135 522.14 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 131 772.40 ₸listings: 22
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 75 950.64 ₸sell now to a buy order: 75 571.70 ₸
(you get 65 714.47 ₸)) · buy orders: 96not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 67 850.29 ₸sell now to a buy order: 67 519.19 ₸
(you get 58 712.32 ₸)) · buy orders: 173
sell on Market.CSGO: 61 685.12 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 67 637.25 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 56 201.20 ₸listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 56 390.28 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 55 953.66 ₸listings: 49
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 72 542.93 ₸sell now to a buy order: 72 462.57 ₸
(you get 63 010.89 ₸)) · buy orders: 74
sell on Market.CSGO: 74 248.03 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 81 412.33 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 63 084.02 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 80 401.27 ₸listings: 5
now 188 952.26 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 201 890.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 161 236.79 ₸
(you get 140 205.89 ₸)) · buy orders: 579
sell on Market.CSGO: 142 805.05 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 156 584.49 · lots 33price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 129 589.17 ₸listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 138 308.56 ₸
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 164 140.77 ₸sell now to a buy order: 163 317.96 ₸
(you get 142 015.58 ₸)) · buy orders: 460
sell on Market.CSGO: 122 722.57 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 134 564.28 · lots 19
on CSFloat: from 119 735.36 ₸listings: 29
on CS.Money: ~ 120 365.60 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 120 127.00 ₸listings: 45
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 109 987.52 ₸sell now to a buy order: 104 249.38 ₸
(you get 90 651.63 ₸)) · buy orders: 232
sell on Market.CSGO: 98 153.37 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 107 624.31 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 94 369.41 ₸listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 101 189.21 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 103 935.12 ₸listings: 26
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 62 192.89 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 63 462.14 ₸listings 3 · you get 62 192.89 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 54 472.92 ₸
(you get 47 367.72 ₸)) · buy orders: 86
sell on Market.CSGO: 68 729.99 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 75 361.86 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 63 462.14 ₸listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 59 235.21 ₸Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)net 53 510.92 ₸sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 61 537.54 ₸sell now to a buy order: 61 557.91 ₸
(you get 53 528.58 ₸)) · buy orders: 176
sell on Market.CSGO: 50 778.86 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 55 678.58 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 49 066.37 ₸listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 49 255.40 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 47 661.90 ₸listings: 30
Steam★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)sell now to a buy order: 64 127.86 ₸
(you get 55 763.36 ₸)) · buy orders: 98Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 55 971.65 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 68 859.42 ₸listings: 3
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 60 770.92 ₸sells 11 a weeknow 69 886.54 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 78 639.15 ₸sell now to a buy order: 73 031.98 ₸
(you get 63 506.07 ₸)) · buy orders: 744
sell on Market.CSGO: 63 427.37 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 69 547.60 · lots 36price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 58 519.48 ₸listings: 50
on CS.Money: ~ 62 921.98 ₸
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 55 767.61 ₸sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 64 132.72 ₸sell now to a buy order: 63 588.69 ₸
(you get 55 294.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 207
sell on Market.CSGO: 63 461.15 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 69 584.64 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 58 069.33 ₸listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 57 646.18 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 56 696.38 ₸listings: 64
rarely sells: 6 a month — calculated at the buy order 55 082.62 ₸sell now to a buy order: 54 800.48 ₸
(you get 47 652.57 ₸)) · buy orders: 225
sell on Market.CSGO: 47 387.76 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 51 960.30 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 50 016.16 ₸listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 48 512.68 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 47 882.44 ₸listings: 41
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 40 287.42 ₸
(you get 35 032.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 49Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
now 27 718.50 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 28 584.91 ₸sell now to a buy order: 25 819.07 ₸
(you get 22 451.31 ₸)) · buy orders: 219
sell on Market.CSGO: 28 097.95 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 30 809.20 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 27 009.01 ₸listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 23 164.73 ₸listings: 34
Steam★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)net 22 632.95 ₸
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 26 027.92 ₸sell now to a buy order: 25 850.70 ₸
(you get 22 478.86 ₸)) · buy orders: 189
sell on Market.CSGO: 32 717.68 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 35 874.66 · lots 5
on Lis-Skins: from 34 684.06 ₸listings: 3
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 600 835.53 ₸sell now to a buy order: 598 400.79 ₸
(you get 520 348.49 ₸)) · buy orders: 1427
sell on Market.CSGO: 528 518.17 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 579 515.54 · lots 20price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 488 975.40 ₸listings: 141
on CS.Money: ~ 582 867.68 ₸
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 504 037.17 ₸sell now to a buy order: 501 659.72 ₸
(you get 436 225.80 ₸)) · buy orders: 1116
sell on Market.CSGO: 519 344.27 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 569 456.47 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 477 748.64 ₸listings: 33
on CS.Money: ~ 515 561.25 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 506 648.30 ₸listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 409 503.84 ₸sell now to a buy order: 443 488.12 ₸
(you get 385 641.82 ₸)) · buy orders: 1061
sell on Market.CSGO: 412 742.45 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 452 568.52 · lots 12
on CSFloat: from 378 062.97 ₸listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 394 452.88 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 387 160.48 ₸listings: 37
Steam★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)net 247 020.26 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 252 061.50 ₸listings 3 · you get 247 020.26 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 244 432.70 ₸
(you get 212 550.13 ₸)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 252 061.50 ₸listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 235 698.46 ₸sell now to a buy order: 234 520.72 ₸
(you get 203 931.02 ₸)) · buy orders: 255
sell on Market.CSGO: 205 563.82 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 225 398.98 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 184 061.81 ₸listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 208 396.93 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 198 817.71 ₸listings: 34
BS costs more than WW: 248 552.45 ₸ versus 160 595.90 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 248 552.45 ₸sell now to a buy order: 247 305.00 ₸
(you get 215 047.78 ₸)) · buy orders: 216Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 179 609.86 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 200 411.26 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 192 871.27 ₸listings: 8
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 480 264.17 ₸sell now to a buy order: 480 359.38 ₸
(you get 417 703.76 ₸)) · buy orders: 1511
sell on Market.CSGO: 397 647.00 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 436 016.45 · lots 19price ignores the phase
on CSFloat: from 371 594.30 ₸listings: 99
on CS.Money: ~ 411 630.60 ₸
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 326 651.33 ₸sell now to a buy order: 325 058.65 ₸
(you get 282 659.70 ₸)) · buy orders: 603
sell on Market.CSGO: 309 560.64 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 339 430.53 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 299 799.89 ₸listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 330 734.15 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 315 276.05 ₸listings: 38
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 303 492.84 ₸sell now to a buy order: 301 989.58 ₸
(you get 262 599.63 ₸)) · buy orders: 613
sell on Market.CSGO: 252 613.64 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 276 988.67 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 251 786.86 ₸listings: 22
on CS.Money: ~ 288 640.68 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 257 386.75 ₸listings: 34
Steam★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)sell now to a buy order: 186 951.44 ₸
(you get 162 566.42 ₸)) · buy orders: 68not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than WW: 150 103.52 ₸ versus 120 794.83 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 150 103.52 ₸sell now to a buy order: 147 570.71 ₸
(you get 128 322.35 ₸)) · buy orders: 160
sell on Market.CSGO: 145 251.37 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 159 266.88 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 130 048.31 ₸listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 144 489.12 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 139 046.81 ₸listings: 40
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 157 817.92 ₸sell now to a buy order: 157 487.71 ₸
(you get 136 945.81 ₸)) · buy orders: 70
sell on Market.CSGO: 151 474.16 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 166 090.09 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 139 515.00 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 139 127.83 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 151 763.58 ₸listings: 11
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.03186 348.19 → 192 460.41 ₸
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.02185 446.85 → 189 934.66 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−176 949.22 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−160 174.95 ₸historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.