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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −191.05₴

Invest at least 1 008.57₴

Average return 817.51₴

ROI −18.9%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 1 008.57 ₴, profit at most −191.05 ₴

float premium: at least 541 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +587.65 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

183.05 ₴

at 30.51

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 73.38 ₴ +42.87 ₴ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0278
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +51.09 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0185
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 113.57 ₴ +83.06 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0464

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

110.38 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1294
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

138.09 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0122
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0226

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 431.52 ₴ +386.00 (+89.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

30.51 ₴

at 30.51

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 73.38 ₴ +42.87 ₴ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0311
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +51.09 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0207
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 113.57 ₴ +83.06 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0519

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

42.33 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1108
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1299
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0602

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

552.34 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0127
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0233

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 625.19 ₴ +587.65 (+94.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈17, цена занижена

×9

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

274.57 ₴

at 30.51

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 73.38 ₴ +42.87 ₴ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0306
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +51.09 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0204
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 113.57 ₴ +83.06 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0510

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

42.33 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1106
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1297
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0601

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 316.91 ₴ +263.42 (+83.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

244.07 ₴

at 30.51

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 73.38 ₴ +42.87 ₴ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0282
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +51.09 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0188
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 113.57 ₴ +83.06 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0471

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

110.38 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1294
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 354.45 ₴ +304.94 (+86.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈16, цена занижена

×7

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

213.56 ₴

at 30.51

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New) — 73.38 ₴ +42.87 ₴ per item · on the market 733 · buy 0.0000–0.0280
M4A4 | Converter (Factory New) — 81.60 ₴ +51.09 ₴ per item · on the market 1 236 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Factory New) — 113.57 ₴ +83.06 ₴ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0468

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

110.38 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1294
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

69.04 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0226

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 392.98 ₴ +345.47 (+87.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

546.01 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

608.00 ₴ 20.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

575.32 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

423.99 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 866.84 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 409.94 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.96 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +212.41 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +301.20 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build