The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

21.43 $

at 21.43

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 22.01 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.1500–0.2091
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 24.07 $ +2.65 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.1007

souvenirSteam

×9

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

29.34 $

at 3.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.24 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0266
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +2.59 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +3.42 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1350

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.77 $ +20.91 (+41.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

88.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 24.07 $ +2.07 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

souvenirSteam

×3

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

9.78 $

at 3.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.24 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +2.59 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +3.42 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1367

Steam

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

15.73 $

at 5.24

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1064
FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 11.94 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.1000–0.1116
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.53 $ +24.90 (+21.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

110.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 24.07 $ +2.07 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

3.26 $

at 3.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.24 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +2.59 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +3.42 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1362

Steam

×4

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

20.97 $

at 5.24

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1061
FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 11.94 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.1000–0.1110
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.26 $ +26.43 (+19.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

110.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 24.07 $ +2.07 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 36.01 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.61 $ +50.93 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0693

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

3.26 $

at 3.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.24 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +2.59 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +3.42 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1362

Steam

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

15.73 $

at 5.24

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1061
FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 11.94 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.1000–0.1110
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 158.69 $ +24.24 (+15.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

110.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 24.07 $ +2.07 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 104 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

59.36 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 36.01 $ +6.33 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.61 $ +50.93 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0692

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

3.26 $

at 3.26

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 5.24 $ +1.98 $ per item · on the market 480 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 5.85 $ +2.59 $ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +3.42 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1362

Steam

×2

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10.49 $

at 5.24

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 6.68 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1000–0.1061
FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) — 11.94 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.1000–0.1110
MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 12.53 $ +7.29 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.13 $ +22.05 (+12.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

147.10 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

13.15 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

10.30 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.066666

408.49 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.045833

216.95 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build