The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

126.50 ₴

at 126.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 165.63 ₴ +39.13 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0664
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +42.02 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0678
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 209.41 ₴ +82.91 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0745

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

55.19 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1297
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0405

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

552.34 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0816
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0231

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 734.03 ₴ +553.46 (+75.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −408 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

379.49 ₴

at 126.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear) — 135.17 ₴ +8.67 ₴ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0700–0.0702
Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 165.63 ₴ +39.13 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0688
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 209.41 ₴ +82.91 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0773

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

496.89 ₴

at 165.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +2.89 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +5.88 ₴ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 341.13 ₴ +175.50 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

276.17 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0856
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0149
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0274

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 152.56 ₴ +112.89 (+9.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

253.00 ₴

at 126.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 165.63 ₴ +39.13 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0685
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +42.02 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0699
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 209.41 ₴ +82.91 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

165.63 ₴

at 165.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +2.89 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +5.88 ₴ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 341.13 ₴ +175.50 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

souvenirSteam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

483.30 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0850
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0145
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0268

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 901.93 ₴ +376.75 (+41.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −229 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

379.49 ₴

at 126.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 165.63 ₴ +39.13 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0673
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +42.02 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0686
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 209.41 ₴ +82.91 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0755

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

331.26 ₴

at 165.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +2.89 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) — 171.51 ₴ +5.88 ₴ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) — 341.13 ₴ +175.50 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

345.21 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0830
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0134
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 055.97 ₴ +213.89 (+20.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

253.00 ₴

at 126.50

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) — 165.63 ₴ +39.13 ₴ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.0000–0.0672
Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) — 168.52 ₴ +42.02 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0000–0.0685
Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 209.41 ₴ +82.91 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0754

souvenirSteam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

552.34 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 805.34 ₴ +477.75 (+59.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

423.99 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 866.84 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 409.94 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.96 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 463.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 428.31 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 413.08 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +294.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +437.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3327427 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 550.94₴ · invest 692.24₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074941 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074941 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3353769 · The Overpass Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 526.36₴ · invest 800.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3357558 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 518.12₴ · invest 696.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3357531 · The Vanguard Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 516.64₴ · invest 707.37₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3357559 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 515.31₴ · invest 721.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3328080 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 505.85₴ · invest 838.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074154 instead of 0.074581
Craft 3331109 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 500.03₴ · invest 741.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074581; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074581

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build

What you get 7 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build