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The 2021 Train Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 853.59₴

Invest at least 14 803.21₴

Average return 7 949.62₴

ROI −46.3%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 14 803.21 ₴, profit at most −6 853.59 ₴

float premium: at least 8 396 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

FAMAS | Meltdown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

1 555.62 ₴

at 1 555.62

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) — 2 028.01 ₴ +472.38 ₴ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.1500–0.2029
MAC-10 | Propaganda (Minimal Wear) — 2 179.26 ₴ +623.64 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1197

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

4 350.97 ₴

at 483.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 575.01 ₴ +91.57 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 1 358.77 ₴ +875.33 ₴ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 906.60 ₴ +2 043.02 (+34.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

in profit

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 537.12 ₴ 45.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

2 493.06 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Emerald)

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

4 797.78 ₴ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 1)

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

4 797.78 ₴ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 2)

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

4 797.78 ₴ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 3)

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

4 797.78 ₴ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Phase 4)

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

4 797.78 ₴ 1.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Coalition

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

37 719.81 ₴ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +453.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 546.69 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build