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The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 457.14₴

Invest 4 837.25₴

Average return 6 294.39₴

ROI +30.1%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 12 393.14 ₴, profit at most −6 098.74 ₴

float premium: at least 6 844 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −900 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

4 137.61 ₴

at 459.73

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 790.70 ₴ +330.96 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 807.95 ₴ +348.21 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 948.39 ₴ +488.66 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

×1

P90 | Attack Vector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

699.64 ₴

at 699.64

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) — 703.06 ₴ +3.42 ₴ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) — 1 159.66 ₴ +460.02 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 837.25 ₴ +1 457.14 (+30.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 610 ₴

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

2 298.67 ₴

at 459.73

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 790.70 ₴ +330.96 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0109
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 807.95 ₴ +348.21 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 948.39 ₴ +488.66 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

×5

P90 | Attack Vector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

3 498.18 ₴

at 699.64

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) — 703.06 ₴ +3.42 ₴ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) — 1 159.66 ₴ +460.02 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 796.85 ₴ +112.06 (+1.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 932 ₴

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

2 758.41 ₴

at 459.73

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 790.70 ₴ +330.96 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 807.95 ₴ +348.21 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0087
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 948.39 ₴ +488.66 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0091

Steam

×4

P90 | Attack Vector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

2 798.54 ₴

at 699.64

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) — 703.06 ₴ +3.42 ₴ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) — 1 159.66 ₴ +460.02 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 556.95 ₴ +448.33 (+8.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 255 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

3 218.14 ₴

at 459.73

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 790.70 ₴ +330.96 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0103
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 807.95 ₴ +348.21 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 948.39 ₴ +488.66 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×3

P90 | Attack Vector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

2 098.91 ₴

at 699.64

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) — 703.06 ₴ +3.42 ₴ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) — 1 159.66 ₴ +460.02 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 317.05 ₴ +784.60 (+14.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 577 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

3 677.88 ₴

at 459.73

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Factory New) — 790.70 ₴ +330.96 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) — 807.95 ₴ +348.21 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) — 948.39 ₴ +488.66 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×2

P90 | Attack Vector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 399.27 ₴

at 699.64

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) — 703.06 ₴ +3.42 ₴ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) — 1 159.66 ₴ +460.02 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 077.15 ₴ +1 120.88 (+22.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

3 455.93 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

3 499.89 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 092.32 ₴ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Lil' Pig

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

3 302.35 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Starcade

Factory New

float up to 0.010135

9 179.88 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Graphic Design Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −110.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 202.49 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Graphic Design Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3327181 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 1 505.24₴ · invest 5 197.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −666 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004181 instead of 0.005556
Craft 3326508 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 1 501.08₴ · invest 5 486.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −742 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005361 instead of 0.005556
Craft 3327410 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1 460.32₴ · invest 4 689.31₴
profit on prices without salesat least −752 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005556
Craft 3327164 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 1 453.38₴ · invest 4 800.00₴
profit on prices without salesat least −863 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005556
Craft 3327319 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 1 429.78₴ · invest 4 973.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −568 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005556
Craft 3327160 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 1 394.05₴ · invest 4 827.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −599 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of P90 | Attack Vector (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005556

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build