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The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −40.84₴

Invest 417.02₴

Average return 376.19₴

ROI −9.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 417.02 ₴, profit −40.84 ₴

float premium: 24 ₴ (6.2%)

To build: easy

A more profitable set was dropped: +138.99 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

29% of lots fit ≈ enough for 15 contracts · easy (estimate)

×9

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0557

362.26 ₴

at 40.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 40.96 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0557
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 43.78 ₴ +3.53 ₴ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0603
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 43.89 ₴ +3.64 ₴ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0557

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0557

12.94 ₴

at 12.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) — 7.17 ₴ cheaper by 5.76 ₴ · on the market 1 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0879
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 7.35 ₴ cheaper by 5.59 ₴ · on the market 1 280 · buy 0.0700–0.0977
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 7.50 ₴ cheaper by 5.44 ₴ · on the market 985 · buy 0.0700–0.0977

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 375.19 ₴ +0.99 (+0.3%)

29% of lots fit ≈ enough for 17 contracts · easy (estimate)

×8

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0554

322.00 ₴

at 40.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 40.96 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0554
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 43.78 ₴ +3.53 ₴ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0600
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 43.89 ₴ +3.64 ₴ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0554

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0554

25.87 ₴

at 12.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) — 7.17 ₴ cheaper by 5.76 ₴ · on the market 1 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0874
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 7.35 ₴ cheaper by 5.59 ₴ · on the market 1 280 · buy 0.0700–0.0972
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 7.50 ₴ cheaper by 5.44 ₴ · on the market 985 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 347.88 ₴ −7.73 (−2.2%)

28% of lots fit ≈ enough for 19 contracts · easy (estimate)

×7

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0551

281.75 ₴

at 40.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 40.96 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0551
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 43.78 ₴ +3.53 ₴ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0597
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 43.89 ₴ +3.64 ₴ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0551

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0551

38.81 ₴

at 12.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) — 7.17 ₴ cheaper by 5.76 ₴ · on the market 1 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0870
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 7.35 ₴ cheaper by 5.59 ₴ · on the market 1 280 · buy 0.0700–0.0967
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 7.50 ₴ cheaper by 5.44 ₴ · on the market 985 · buy 0.0700–0.0967

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 320.57 ₴ −16.45 (−5.1%)

28% of lots fit ≈ enough for 22 contracts · easy (estimate)

×6

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0548

241.50 ₴

at 40.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 40.96 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0548
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 43.78 ₴ +3.53 ₴ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0594
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 43.89 ₴ +3.64 ₴ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0548

51.75 ₴

at 12.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) — 7.17 ₴ cheaper by 5.76 ₴ · on the market 1 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0865
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 7.35 ₴ cheaper by 5.59 ₴ · on the market 1 280 · buy 0.0700–0.0962
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 7.50 ₴ cheaper by 5.44 ₴ · on the market 985 · buy 0.0700–0.0962

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 293.25 ₴ −25.17 (−8.6%)

27% of lots fit ≈ enough for 25 contracts · easy (estimate)

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0545

201.25 ₴

at 40.25

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) — 40.96 ₴ +0.71 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.0000–0.0545
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Factory New) — 43.78 ₴ +3.53 ₴ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0000–0.0591
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New) — 43.89 ₴ +3.64 ₴ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0545

64.69 ₴

at 12.94

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear) — 7.17 ₴ cheaper by 5.76 ₴ · on the market 1 313 · buy 0.0700–0.0861
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 7.35 ₴ cheaper by 5.59 ₴ · on the market 1 280 · buy 0.0700–0.0957
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 7.50 ₴ cheaper by 5.44 ₴ · on the market 985 · buy 0.0700–0.0957

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.94 ₴ −33.90 (−12.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

704.62 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

243.48 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

64.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

40.41 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

98.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070933

43.89 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

51.05 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −41.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3331687 · The Ascent Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.05₴ · invest 375.15₴
P250 | Cassette (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.052499 instead of 0.055706
Craft 3331821 · The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 0.96₴ · invest 374.53₴
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): float at most 0.056801 instead of 0.055706

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build