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The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −684.54₸

Invest at least 1 250.31₸

Average return 565.77₸

ROI −54.8%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 1 250.31 ₸, profit at most −684.54 ₸

float premium: at least 644 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4864

145.60 ₸

at 145.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) — 161.35 ₸ +15.75 ₸ per item · on the market 123 · buy 0.1500–0.2432
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear) — 222.82 ₸ +77.22 ₸ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1500
StatTrak™ MP7 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) — 260.33 ₸ +114.73 ₸ per item · on the market 257 · buy 0.1500–0.2432

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

355.83 ₸

at 39.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 40.83 ₸ +1.29 ₸ per item · on the market 877 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 44.88 ₸ +5.34 ₸ per item · on the market 1 017 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.49 ₸ +9.95 ₸ per item · on the market 791 · buy 0.1500–0.1652

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 501.43 ₸ +64.34 (+12.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132236

384.90 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197368

303.30 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.138157

893.64 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

964.95 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

303.69 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

1 247.67 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.197368

1 164.77 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.059210

1 894.76 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078947

1 195.20 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −18.84 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39.26 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3342390 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 70.34₸ · invest 501.54₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build