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Crafts · The Breakout Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

₽

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +2 441.04₽

Invest 6 496.91₽

Average return 8 937.95₽

ROI +37.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 15 365.42 ₽, profit at most −6 427.47 ₽

float premium: at least 8 641 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

1 533.23 ₽

at 1 533.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 641.51 ₽ +1 108.28 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0508
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 866.39 ₽ +1 333.16 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1187

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3859

1 968.08 ₽

at 492.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 599.12 ₽ +107.10 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3203
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 892.56 ₽ +400.54 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4445

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

2 995.60 ₽

at 599.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 1 002.83 ₽ +403.71 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2819
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 1 760.51 ₽ +1 161.39 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 496.91 ₽ +2 441.04 (+37.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −942 ₽

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1840

3 066.46 ₽

at 1 533.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 641.51 ₽ +1 108.28 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0552
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 866.39 ₽ +1 333.16 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1288

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3903

1 476.06 ₽

at 492.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 599.12 ₽ +107.10 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3227
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 892.56 ₽ +400.54 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4470

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1840

2 995.60 ₽

at 599.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 1 002.83 ₽ +403.71 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2975
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 1 760.51 ₽ +1 161.39 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1320

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 538.12 ₽ +2 092.87 (+27.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 325 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

7 666.15 ₽

at 1 533.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 641.51 ₽ +1 108.28 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0546
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 866.39 ₽ +1 333.16 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1275

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3898

984.04 ₽

at 492.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 599.12 ₽ +107.10 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3224
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 892.56 ₽ +400.54 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4467

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

1 797.36 ₽

at 599.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 1 002.83 ₽ +403.71 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2955
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 1 760.51 ₽ +1 161.39 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1286

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 447.55 ₽ +1 262.58 (+12.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 708 ₽

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1799

12 265.84 ₽

at 1 533.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 641.51 ₽ +1 108.28 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0539
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 866.39 ₽ +1 333.16 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1259

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3891

492.02 ₽

at 492.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 599.12 ₽ +107.10 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3220
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 892.56 ₽ +400.54 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4463

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1799

599.12 ₽

at 599.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 1 002.83 ₽ +403.71 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2930
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 1 760.51 ₽ +1 161.39 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 356.98 ₽ +432.29 (+3.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 701 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1757

4 599.69 ₽

at 1 533.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) — 2 641.51 ₽ +1 108.28 ₽ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) — 2 866.39 ₽ +1 333.16 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.1230

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3878

1 476.06 ₽

at 492.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 599.12 ₽ +107.10 ₽ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.3213
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 892.56 ₽ +400.54 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.3800–0.4455

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1757

2 396.48 ₽

at 599.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 1 002.83 ₽ +403.71 ₽ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.2500–0.2885
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 1 760.51 ₽ +1 161.39 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1166

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 472.23 ₽ +1 851.81 (+21.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

6 038.65 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 924.62 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093749

17 623.37 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.172499

17 279.97 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +238.46 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 949.68 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3354635 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 2 630.91₽ · invest 5 665.18₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested)
Craft 3351523 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 568.38₽ · invest 5 477.10₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383958 instead of 0.385980; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163007 instead of 0.169650
Craft 3349084 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 538.52₽ · invest 5 841.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384594 instead of 0.385980; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165097 instead of 0.169650
Craft 3347853 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 507.71₽ · invest 5 837.36₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.383587 instead of 0.385980; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161788 instead of 0.169650
Craft 3347199 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 482.25₽ · invest 5 868.27₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384934 instead of 0.385980; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166212 instead of 0.169650
Craft 3337867 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 470.16₽ · invest 5 982.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384735 instead of 0.385980; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165558 instead of 0.169650

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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