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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 932.49₸

Invest at least 8 882.77₸

Average return 6 950.27₸

ROI −21.8%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 8 882.77 ₸, profit at most −1 932.49 ₸

float premium: at least 4 996 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5 585.23 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 207.46 ₸

at 241.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +46.00 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +250.32 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 2 280.45 ₸ +2 038.95 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1 265.38 ₸

at 421.79

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 549.91 ₸ +128.11 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1107
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +266.12 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1298
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +916.42 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0601

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1 375.84 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0817
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0126
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0233

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 848.68 ₸ +3 101.60 (+80.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

724.47 ₸

at 241.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +46.00 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +250.32 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 2 280.45 ₸ +2 038.95 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.0000–0.0139

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2 199.63 ₸

at 549.91

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +138.01 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1081
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +580.45 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1313
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +788.31 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0415

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2 063.76 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0842
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0141
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0259

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 987.86 ₸ +4 230.15 (+84.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

241.49 ₸

at 241.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +46.00 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +250.32 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 2 280.45 ₸ +2 038.95 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

843.59 ₸

at 421.79

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 549.91 ₸ +128.11 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1129
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +266.12 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1311
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +916.42 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0613

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

4 815.43 ₸

at 687.92

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +442.43 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +650.29 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 1 416.72 ₸ +728.80 ₸ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 900.51 ₸ +5 585.23 (+94.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

236.20 ₸

at 236.20

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) — 241.49 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 470 · buy 0.0000–0.0300
Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +51.29 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +255.61 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0375

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

1 448.95 ₸

at 241.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +46.00 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +250.32 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 2 280.45 ₸ +2 038.95 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.0000–0.0113

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1 265.38 ₸

at 421.79

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 549.91 ₸ +128.11 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1122
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +266.12 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +916.42 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0609

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 950.54 ₸ +1 732.00 (+58.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 448.95 ₸

at 241.49

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) — 287.50 ₸ +46.00 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
MP7 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 491.81 ₸ +250.32 ₸ per item · on the market 603 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) — 2 280.45 ₸ +2 038.95 ₸ per item · on the market 150 · buy 0.0000–0.0107

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

843.59 ₸

at 421.79

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 549.91 ₸ +128.11 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1114
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +266.12 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1302
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +916.42 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0605

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

1 099.82 ₸

at 549.91

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 687.92 ₸ +138.01 ₸ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1072
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 1 130.35 ₸ +580.45 ₸ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1300
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 1 338.21 ₸ +788.31 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0407

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 392.35 ₸ +2 424.08 (+71.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 12%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

1 576.50 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 314.65 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

1 520.49 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 480.67 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

4 224.53 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 527.84 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

14 048.18 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1 249.69 ₸ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 717.66 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 476.89 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3353598 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 398.21₸ · invest 3 987.87₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3335306 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 294.26₸ · invest 3 894.51₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165057 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075237 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3353599 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 242.82₸ · invest 3 987.87₸
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3348104 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 223.62₸ · invest 3 777.82₸
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3356108 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 189.00₸ · invest 3 776.97₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3338198 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 184.87₸ · invest 3 777.82₸
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3357229 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 167.14₸ · invest 3 838.84₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164343 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074988 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3334360 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 155.00₸ · invest 4 114.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New): float at most 0.004493 instead of 0.004113; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164762 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075134 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3357230 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 145.45₸ · invest 4 104.96₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3356962 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 136.20₸ · invest 3 977.24₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3356959 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 099.99₸ · invest 3 515.69₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3356960 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 044.93₸ · invest 3 915.32₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164991 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3356599 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 030.32₸ · invest 4 133.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3354064 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 771.01₸ · invest 3 965.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3357106 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 731.70₸ · invest 3 011.95₸
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3335305 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 673.51₸ · invest 3 679.12₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162569 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3347462 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 666.88₸ · invest 4 167.89₸
rare inputs

Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161518 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3357107 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 566.54₸ · invest 3 278.07₸
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074700
Craft 3339897 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 2 561.59₸ · invest 3 149.74₸
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164012 instead of 0.163515; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074873 instead of 0.074700

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build