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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −81.45$

Invest at least 238.84$

Average return 157.39$

ROI −34.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 238.84 $, profit at most −81.45 $

float premium: at least 135 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +66.56 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.41 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 10.64 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 131 · buy 0.0000–0.0469
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +22.49 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0563

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

74.47 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

14.91 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 393 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 7.92 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.78 $ +60.61 (+62.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

31.91 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 393 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 7.92 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

×4

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

59.82 $

at 14.96

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 159 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.14 $ +1.18 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.10 $ +5.52 (+4.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

42.55 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 393 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 7.92 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0777

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

44.87 $

at 14.96

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 159 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.14 $ +1.18 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.79 $ +17.39 (+15.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

53.19 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 393 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 7.92 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0772

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

29.91 $

at 14.96

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 159 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.14 $ +1.18 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.47 $ +29.26 (+27.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

63.83 $

at 10.64

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 12.65 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.90 $ +19.26 $ per item · on the market 187 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 393 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) — 7.92 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

14.96 $

at 14.96

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 159 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.14 $ +1.18 $ per item · on the market 174 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.15 $ +41.14 (+40.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.90 $ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

54.86 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

117.44 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

105.57 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3341197 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 71.87$ · invest 105.20$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3341017 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 67.50$ · invest 108.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3340374 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 66.59$ · invest 94.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3340963 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 65.26$ · invest 98.81$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004334 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3340822 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 64.94$ · invest 97.33$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3341076 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 63.48$ · invest 93.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3334553 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 58.75$ · invest 97.20$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear), AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075583 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004885 instead of 0.004526

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build