The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Genesis Collection
StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
About the craftCraft 3340512 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×2
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1623
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.39 $
at 0.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.20 $+0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy0.1500–0.1948
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 438 · buy0.1500–0.1888
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy0.1500–0.1623
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162398f′ (normalized) 0.216531wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 323 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 216 · from 0.18 $ (float 0.1558) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1623
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2.16 $
at 0.31
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.93 $+0.62 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy0.0000–0.0195
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $+0.76 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy0.0000–0.0195
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $+0.82 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0234
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162398f′ (normalized) 0.026044wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 311 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1623
(0% of this wear's listings)
0.25 $
at 0.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy0.1500–0.1623
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.1500–0.1623
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy0.1500–0.1623
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162398f′ (normalized) 0.162398wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 54 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs2.80 $
+1.15
(+41.0%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 10% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×7
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1721
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2.16 $
at 0.31
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.93 $+0.62 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy0.0000–0.0280
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $+0.76 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy0.0000–0.0280
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $+0.82 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0336
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.172117f′ (normalized) 0.037346wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 311 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1721
(4% of this wear's listings)
0.74 $
at 0.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy0.1500–0.1721
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.1500–0.1721
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy0.1500–0.1721
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.172117f′ (normalized) 0.172117wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 54 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 0.72 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs2.90 $
+1.19
(+40.9%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 8% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×4
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1688
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.24 $
at 0.31
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.93 $+0.62 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy0.0000–0.0251
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $+0.76 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy0.0000–0.0251
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $+0.82 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0301
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168808f′ (normalized) 0.033498wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 311 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1688
(3% of this wear's listings)
0.49 $
at 0.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy0.1500–0.1688
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.1500–0.1688
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy0.1500–0.1688
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168808f′ (normalized) 0.168808wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 54 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 0.72 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0765
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2.16 $
at 0.54
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 216 · buy0.0700–0.0765
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076542f′ (normalized) 0.076542wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 152 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3.89 $
+0.41
(+10.6%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 8% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×6
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1682
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.85 $
at 0.31
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.93 $+0.62 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy0.0000–0.0246
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $+0.76 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy0.0000–0.0246
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $+0.82 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0295
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168209f′ (normalized) 0.032802wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 311 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1682
(3% of this wear's listings)
0.74 $
at 0.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy0.1500–0.1682
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.1500–0.1682
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy0.1500–0.1682
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.168209f′ (normalized) 0.168209wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 54 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 0.72 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0763
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.54 $
at 0.54
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 110 · buy0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 216 · buy0.0700–0.0763
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.076333f′ (normalized) 0.076333wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 152 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 44) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs3.13 $
+1.03
(+32.8%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1671
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
0.19 $
at 0.19
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 0.20 $+0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy0.1500–0.2005
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 0.24 $+0.05 $ per item · on the market 438 · buy0.1500–0.1938
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 358 · buy0.1500–0.1671
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167117f′ (normalized) 0.222822wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 323 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 216 · from 0.18 $ (float 0.1558) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×7
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1671
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2.16 $
at 0.31
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.93 $+0.62 $ per item · on the market 125 · buy0.0000–0.0236
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 1.07 $+0.76 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy0.0000–0.0236
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 1.13 $+0.82 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0283
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167117f′ (normalized) 0.031531wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 311 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 90) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1671
(1% of this wear's listings)
0.49 $
at 0.25
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $+0.01 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy0.1500–0.1671
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $+0.02 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.1500–0.1671
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested) — 0.28 $+0.04 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy0.1500–0.1671
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167117f′ (normalized) 0.167117wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 54 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 0.72 $ · little data, days: 3
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 48) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs2.85 $
+1.17
(+41.0%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
10 outcomes
Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 4%
at a loss
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger
Factory New
float up to 0.050555
2.93 $18.00%
SteamStatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)net 2.55 $sells 12 a weekmonth average 2.93 $, sold 49 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2.56 $
(you get 2.23 $)) · buy orders: 3213
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.99 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.28 · lots 33
on CSFloat: from 2.25 $listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 2.40 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.64 $listings: 54
in profit
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal
Factory New
float up to 0.038888
4.01 $18.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)net 3.49 $sells 47 a weeknow 4.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 4.79 $sell now to a buy order: 3.94 $
(you get 3.42 $)) · buy orders: 6821
sell on Market.CSGO: 3.30 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.62 · lots 9
on CSFloat: from 2.97 $listings: 82
on CS.Money: ~ 3.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 3.34 $listings: 58
in profit
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
7.20 $18.00%
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)net 6.26 $sells 8 a weeknow 7.20 $ — cheaper than the month average 8.77 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 6.82 $ to your card
cheapest lot 7.48 · lots 18
on CSFloat: from 6.00 $listings: 45
on CS.Money: ~ 6.75 $
on Lis-Skins: from 6.67 $listings: 49
in profit
StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore
Factory New
float up to 0.031111
4.50 $18.00%
SteamStatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)net 3.91 $sells 73 a weeknow 4.50 $ — cheaper than the month average 5.03 $sell now to a buy order: 4.57 $
(you get 3.97 $)) · buy orders: 6634
sell on Market.CSGO: 4.20 $ to your card
cheapest lot 4.60 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 3.71 $listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 3.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 4.07 $listings: 64
in profit
StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback
Factory New
float up to 0.038888
3.61 $18.00%
SteamStatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)net 3.14 $sells 70 a weeknow 3.61 $ — cheaper than the month average 3.89 $sell now to a buy order: 3.47 $
(you get 3.02 $)) · buy orders: 8608
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.70 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2.96 · lots 71
on CSFloat: from 2.66 $listings: 93
on CS.Money: ~ 2.64 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.78 $listings: 105
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.077777
1.49 $2.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)net 1.30 $The Genesis Collectionsells 32 a weeknow 1.49 $ — cheaper than the month average 3.79 $sell now to a buy order: 3.01 $
(you get 2.61 $)) · buy orders: 4738
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.77 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.04 · lots 15
on CSFloat: from 2.47 $listings: 52
on CS.Money: ~ 2.54 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.72 $listings: 66
in profit
best
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.077777
14.96 $2.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)net 13.01 $The Genesis Collectionsells 81 a weeknow 14.96 $ — cheaper than the month average 15.50 $sell now to a buy order: 13.14 $
(you get 11.42 $)) · buy orders: 4471
sell on Market.CSGO: 11.87 $ to your card
cheapest lot 13.02 · lots 55
on CSFloat: from 10.96 $listings: 78
on CS.Money: ~ 12.56 $
on Lis-Skins: from 11.10 $listings: 143
in profit
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.077777
3.79 $2.00%
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)net 3.30 $The Genesis Collectionsells 43 a weekmonth average 3.79 $, sold 164 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.86 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.14 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 2.64 $listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 2.91 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.90 $listings: 46
about break-even
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.077777
3.09 $2.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)net 2.68 $The Genesis Collectionsells 32 a weeknow 3.09 $ — cheaper than the month average 3.46 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.69 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2.95 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 2.46 $listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 2.88 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.69 $listings: 45
about break-even
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.077777
3.09 $2.00%
SteamStatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)net 2.69 $The Genesis Collectionsells 27 a weeknow 3.09 $ — cheaper than the month average 3.38 $sell now to a buy order: 2.64 $
(you get 2.30 $)) · buy orders: 5134
sell on Market.CSGO: 2.84 $ to your card
cheapest lot 3.11 · lots 14
on CSFloat: from 2.36 $listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 2.54 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2.54 $listings: 47
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) × 25% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.210.39 → 0.85 $
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) × 75% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.552.16 → 5.52 $
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) × 15% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.160.25 → 0.53 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.077777678
outcomes come out up to 0.050555, 0.038888, 0.069999, 0.031111, 0.038888, 0.077777, 0.077777, 0.077777, 0.077777, 0.077777
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+0.53 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+0.94 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3340950
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1.16$
· invest 2.99$
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.