The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Phoenix Collection
Classified → Covert
About the craftCraft 3340795 · ways to build: 5The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0759
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
596.27 ₽
at 596.27
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 856.49 ₽+260.22 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0000–0.0474
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 811.00 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0569
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075921f′ (normalized) 0.094901wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 052.10 ₽ · among lots up to 1 059.89 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×8
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0051
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
6 851.92 ₽
at 856.49
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 018.72 ₽+162.23 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy0.0000–0.0082
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 550.78 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0062
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005181f′ (normalized) 0.010362wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 6 778.56 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 121) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
P90 | Trigon
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1670
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
800.13 ₽
at 800.13
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 063.52 ₽+263.39 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.0000–0.0389
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 652.70 ₽+1 852.57 ₽ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy0.1500–0.1779
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.167024f′ (normalized) 0.129887wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 603.17 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 73 · from 854.76 ₽ (float 0.1506) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs8 248.32 ₽
+5 079.32
(+61.6%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0750
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
596.27 ₽
at 596.27
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 856.49 ₽+260.22 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0000–0.0468
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 811.00 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0562
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075022f′ (normalized) 0.093777wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 052.10 ₽ · among lots up to 1 059.89 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×5
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
4 282.45 ₽
at 856.49
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 018.72 ₽+162.23 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy0.0000–0.0070
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 550.78 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0052
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004394f′ (normalized) 0.008788wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 6 778.56 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 121) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
P90 | Trigon
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1644
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
800.13 ₽
at 800.13
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 063.52 ₽+263.39 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.0000–0.0378
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 652.70 ₽+1 852.57 ₽ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy0.1500–0.1756
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.164438f′ (normalized) 0.126027wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 73 · from 854.76 ₽ (float 0.1506) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0043
(7% of this wear's listings)
3 190.56 ₽
at 1 063.52
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.97 ₽+57.45 ₽ per item · on the market 61 · buy0.0800–0.0898
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 11 843.46 ₽+10 779.94 ₽ per item · on the market 70 · buy0.1000–0.1087
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004394f′ (normalized) 0.014647wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 5 992.33 ₽ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 86 · from 3 180.87 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs8 869.41 ₽
+2 776.11
(+31.3%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0747
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
596.27 ₽
at 596.27
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 856.49 ₽+260.22 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0000–0.0467
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 811.00 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0560
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074780f′ (normalized) 0.093475wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 052.10 ₽ · among lots up to 1 059.89 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
3 425.96 ₽
at 856.49
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 018.72 ₽+162.23 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy0.0000–0.0066
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 550.78 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0050
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004182f′ (normalized) 0.008365wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 6 778.56 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 121) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
P90 | Trigon
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1637
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
800.13 ₽
at 800.13
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 063.52 ₽+263.39 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.0000–0.0374
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 652.70 ₽+1 852.57 ₽ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy0.1500–0.1749
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163742f′ (normalized) 0.124988wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 73 · from 854.76 ₽ (float 0.1506) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0041
(7% of this wear's listings)
4 254.08 ₽
at 1 063.52
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.97 ₽+57.45 ₽ per item · on the market 61 · buy0.0800–0.0893
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 11 843.46 ₽+10 779.94 ₽ per item · on the market 70 · buy0.1000–0.1083
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004182f′ (normalized) 0.013941wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 5 992.33 ₽ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 86 · from 3 180.87 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs9 076.44 ₽
+2 008.37
(+22.1%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 6% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
MP5-SD | Phosphor
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0745
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
596.27 ₽
at 596.27
if this one runs out, you can take
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 856.49 ₽+260.22 ₽ per item · on the market 131 · buy0.0000–0.0466
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 811.00 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0559
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074560f′ (normalized) 0.093200wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 1 052.10 ₽ · among lots up to 1 059.89 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 72) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 569.47 ₽
at 856.49
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 018.72 ₽+162.23 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy0.0000–0.0063
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 550.78 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0047
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003990f′ (normalized) 0.007980wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 6 778.56 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 121) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
P90 | Trigon
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1631
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
800.13 ₽
at 800.13
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 063.52 ₽+263.39 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.0000–0.0372
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 652.70 ₽+1 852.57 ₽ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy0.1500–0.1744
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163110f′ (normalized) 0.124045wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 73 · from 854.76 ₽ (float 0.1506) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×5
Nova | Antique
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(7% of this wear's listings)
5 317.60 ₽
at 1 063.52
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.97 ₽+57.45 ₽ per item · on the market 61 · buy0.0800–0.0889
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 11 843.46 ₽+10 779.94 ₽ per item · on the market 70 · buy0.1000–0.1079
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003990f′ (normalized) 0.013300wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 55 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~4,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 5 992.33 ₽ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 86 · from 3 180.87 ₽ (float 0.0018) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs9 283.47 ₽
+1 240.64
(+13.4%)
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×8
UMP-45 | Momentum
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0038
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
6 851.92 ₽
at 856.49
if this one runs out, you can take
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 018.72 ₽+162.23 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy0.0000–0.0061
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 407.27 ₽+1 550.78 ₽ per item · on the market 187 · buy0.0000–0.0045
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003825f′ (normalized) 0.007651wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 131 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 6 778.56 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 121) · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
P90 | Trigon
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1625
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 600.26 ₽
at 800.13
if this one runs out, you can take
Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 063.52 ₽+263.39 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.0000–0.0369
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 652.70 ₽+1 852.57 ₽ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy0.1500–0.1739
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.162570f′ (normalized) 0.123239wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 70 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 73 · from 854.76 ₽ (float 0.1506) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 10 pcs8 452.18 ₽
+4 314.75
(+51.0%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
What you get
4 outcomes
Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Asiimov
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
27 526.36 ₽45.00%
rarely sells
SteamAK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)net 23 935.97 ₽sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 27 526.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 27 526.36 ₽
(you get 23 935.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 1056
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 252.79 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 24 399.99 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 22 623.59 ₽listings: 47
on CS.Money: ~ 22 919.87 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 22 758.85 ₽listings: 114
at a loss
worst
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
float up to 0.015384
4 416.83 ₽45.00%
SteamAWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)net 3 840.72 ₽sells 118 a weeknow 4 416.83 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 5 297.07 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 467.39 ₽
(you get 3 884.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 1972
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 648.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 4 000.00 · lots 74
on CSFloat: from 3 527.99 ₽listings: 296
on CS.Money: ~ 3 915.25 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 3 866.94 ₽listings: 310
at a loss
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
float up to 0.015384
8 949.57 ₽5.00%
SteamAUG | Chameleon (Factory New)net 7 782.23 ₽The Phoenix Collectionsells 35 a weeknow 8 949.57 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 9 358.93 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 791.69 ₽
(you get 6 775.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 4123
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 809.98 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 467.09 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 6 357.15 ₽listings: 99
on CS.Money: ~ 7 094.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 6 679.19 ₽listings: 67
in profit
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
float up to 0.205230
10 097.38 ₽5.00%
SteamAWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)net 8 780.33 ₽The Phoenix Collectionsells 74 a weeknow 10 097.38 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 12 860.18 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 401.90 ₽
(you get 8 175.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 5565
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 877.45 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 8 637.56 · lots 51
on CSFloat: from 7 518.12 ₽listings: 792
on CS.Money: ~ 8 474.59 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 8 097.80 ₽listings: 697
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) × 17% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16596.27 → 1 287.94 ₽
UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) × 87% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.596 851.92 → 17 746.47 ₽
P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) × 17% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16800.13 → 1 728.28 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.030769131
outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.015384, 0.015384, 0.205230
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+2 601.05 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+4 244.32 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
4 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3333784
· The Breakout Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 4 985.84₽
· invest 9 220.30₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077206 instead of 0.075921; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.006305 instead of 0.005181
Craft 3338338
· The Chroma Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 4 975.28₽
· invest 8 555.71₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076119 instead of 0.075921; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005354 instead of 0.005181
Craft 3341134
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4 916.16₽
· invest 8 744.41₽
sells slowlyrare inputs
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075443 instead of 0.075921; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004763 instead of 0.005181
Craft 3341141
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4 652.84₽
· invest 9 295.86₽
sells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | AXIA (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077206 instead of 0.075921; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.006305 instead of 0.005181
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.