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Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

₴≈

The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8 053.54₴

Invest at least 19 808.56₴

Average return 11 755.02₴

ROI −40.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 19 808.56 ₴, profit at most −8 053.54 ₴

float premium: at least 11 741 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 824 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

6 187.90 ₴

at 687.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 723.34 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 2 954.29 ₴ +2 266.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 636.28 ₴

at 1 636.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 2 500.10 ₴ +863.82 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +2 678.69 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 824.19 ₴ +3 930.84 (+50.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 425 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4 812.81 ₴

at 687.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 723.34 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 2 954.29 ₴ +2 266.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

1 975.79 ₴

at 987.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 1 636.28 ₴ +648.38 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +3 327.07 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 636.28 ₴

at 1 636.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 2 500.10 ₴ +863.82 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +2 678.69 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 424.89 ₴ +2 826.28 (+33.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 725 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4 125.27 ₴

at 687.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 723.34 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 2 954.29 ₴ +2 266.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2 963.69 ₴

at 987.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 1 636.28 ₴ +648.38 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +3 327.07 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 636.28 ₴

at 1 636.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 2 500.10 ₴ +863.82 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +2 678.69 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 725.24 ₴ +2 274.01 (+26.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 026 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

3 437.72 ₴

at 687.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 723.34 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 2 954.29 ₴ +2 266.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

3 951.59 ₴

at 987.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 1 636.28 ₴ +648.38 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +3 327.07 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 636.28 ₴

at 1 636.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 2 500.10 ₴ +863.82 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +2 678.69 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 025.60 ₴ +1 721.73 (+19.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 326 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

2 750.18 ₴

at 687.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 723.34 ₴ +35.80 ₴ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 2 954.29 ₴ +2 266.74 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

4 939.49 ₴

at 987.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 1 636.28 ₴ +648.38 ₴ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0615
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +3 327.07 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0692

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

1 636.28 ₴

at 1 636.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 2 500.10 ₴ +863.82 ₴ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 4 314.97 ₴ +2 678.69 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 325.95 ₴ +1 169.46 (+12.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 777.61 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 838.36 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

float up to 0.051134

7 995.11 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

float up to 0.041812

13 826.64 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 133.26 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 638.77 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3341753 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4 247.37₴ · invest 7 174.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 950 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076934
Craft 3342060 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4 239.44₴ · invest 7 714.54₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 384 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076934
Craft 3341551 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 4 168.86₴ · invest 7 368.66₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 011 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076934
Craft 3333805 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4 066.85₴ · invest 7 678.89₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 174 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076934
Craft 3341781 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 983.50₴ · invest 7 642.32₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 642 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076934

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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