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The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −201.05₽

Invest at least 406.87₽

Average return 205.82₽

ROI −49.4%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 406.87 ₽, profit at most −201.05 ₽

float premium: at least 227 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4798

72.48 ₽

at 12.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4798
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4798
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 15.11 ₽ +3.03 ₽ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4798

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

61.11 ₽

at 20.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 20.73 ₽ +0.36 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 20.74 ₽ +0.37 ₽ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 23.00 ₽ +2.63 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1624

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

40.20 ₽

at 40.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 49.75 ₽ +9.55 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 51.38 ₽ +11.18 ₽ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 56.48 ₽ +16.28 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3837

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.79 ₽ +32.03 (+18.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 ₽

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5138

48.32 ₽

at 12.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.5138
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5138
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 15.11 ₽ +3.03 ₽ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.5138

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1767

61.11 ₽

at 20.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 20.73 ₽ +0.36 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1767
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 20.74 ₽ +0.37 ₽ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1767
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 23.00 ₽ +2.63 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1767

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3881

120.60 ₽

at 40.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 49.75 ₽ +9.55 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3881
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 51.38 ₽ +11.18 ₽ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3881
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 56.48 ₽ +16.28 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3881

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 230.03 ₽ +7.87 (+3.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 ₽

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4945

60.40 ₽

at 12.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.4500–0.4945
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 13.21 ₽ +1.13 ₽ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4945
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 15.11 ₽ +3.03 ₽ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.4945

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

61.11 ₽

at 20.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 20.73 ₽ +0.36 ₽ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 20.74 ₽ +0.37 ₽ per item · on the market 84 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 23.00 ₽ +2.63 ₽ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1686

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3856

80.40 ₽

at 40.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 49.75 ₽ +9.55 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.3800–0.3856
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 51.38 ₽ +11.18 ₽ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.3800–0.3856
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 56.48 ₽ +16.28 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3856

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.91 ₽ +19.95 (+9.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

226.24 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

157.76 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

396.49 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

152.43 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

158.30 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

509.08 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

float up to 0.228749

260.06 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

522.52 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168749

281.98 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

440.00 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.19 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.64 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3341900 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 35.44₽ · invest 161.57₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3341428 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 35.32₽ · invest 152.85₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3341790 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 34.90₽ · invest 159.51₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn)
Craft 3341791 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 34.34₽ · invest 159.51₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3341938 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 32.67₽ · invest 161.57₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509468 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174868 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3341985 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 32.16₽ · invest 164.69₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build