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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −106.54₴

Invest at least 198.81₴

Average return 92.27₴

ROI −53.6%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 198.81 ₴, profit at most −106.54 ₴

float premium: at least 108 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38.09 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

20.91 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1134
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1620

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

18.22 ₴

at 4.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 5.44 ₴ +0.88 ₴ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1800
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 5.71 ₴ +1.15 ₴ per item · on the market 1 134 · buy 0.1500–0.1800
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 8.95 ₴ +4.40 ₴ per item · on the market 275 · buy 0.0700–0.1257

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

44.76 ₴

at 8.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 9.48 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 400 · buy 0.0700–0.0928
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 10.97 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0835

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.89 ₴ +8.38 (+10.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

146.35 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1184
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1692

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

68.56 ₴

at 34.28

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 47.32 ₴ +13.04 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +31.69 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0536
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 204.75 ₴ +170.47 ₴ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0352

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

20.69 ₴

at 20.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +1.78 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 28.08 ₴ +7.39 ₴ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 29.15 ₴ +8.46 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 235.60 ₴ +27.98 (+11.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

167.26 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1664
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1664

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

41.39 ₴

at 20.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +1.78 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 28.08 ₴ +7.39 ₴ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 29.15 ₴ +8.46 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.64 ₴ +33.52 (+16.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

146.35 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1151
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1645

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

17.90 ₴

at 8.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 9.48 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 400 · buy 0.0700–0.0939
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 10.97 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0845

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

20.69 ₴

at 20.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 22.47 ₴ +1.78 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 28.08 ₴ +7.39 ₴ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 29.15 ₴ +8.46 ₴ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.95 ₴ +35.80 (+19.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

125.44 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.17 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1623
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 34.83 ₴ +13.92 ₴ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1136
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 102.40 ₴ +81.49 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1623

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

35.81 ₴

at 8.95

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear) — 9.48 ₴ +0.52 ₴ per item · on the market 264 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 400 · buy 0.0700–0.0929
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 10.97 ₴ +2.02 ₴ per item · on the market 202 · buy 0.0700–0.0836

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.25 ₴ +38.09 (+23.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

65.98 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090444

102.25 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

100.63 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

84.14 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083308

54.42 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

176.20 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

175.47 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

864.80 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

317.77 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

104.46 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.39 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.00 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build