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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.53₸

Invest 1 096.10₸

Average return 1 098.63₸

ROI +0.2%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 2 498.15 ₸, profit at most −1 399.51 ₸

float premium: at least 1 209 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +101.74 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

624.93 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

199.54 ₸

at 49.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 50.62 ₸ +0.73 ₸ per item · on the market 520 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 1 033 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 561 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 92.01 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 116.58 ₸ +26.04 ₸ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 143.02 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 096.10 ₸ +2.53 (+0.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 458.17 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 92.01 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 116.58 ₸ +26.04 ₸ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 143.02 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 729.81 ₸ +101.74 (+5.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 249.86 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

49.88 ₸

at 49.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 50.62 ₸ +0.73 ₸ per item · on the market 520 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 1 033 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 561 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 92.01 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 116.58 ₸ +26.04 ₸ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 143.02 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 571.38 ₸ +76.94 (+4.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 041.55 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

99.77 ₸

at 49.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 50.62 ₸ +0.73 ₸ per item · on the market 520 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 1 033 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 54.78 ₸ +4.89 ₸ per item · on the market 561 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

271.64 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 92.01 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 116.58 ₸ +26.04 ₸ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 143.02 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 412.96 ₸ +52.13 (+3.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

1 458.17 ₸

at 208.31

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +11.70 ₸ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 347.00 ₸ +138.69 ₸ per item · on the market 119 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 1 020.24 ₸ +811.93 ₸ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.1500–0.1674

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

341.54 ₸

at 341.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 471.51 ₸ +129.97 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 657.32 ₸ +315.78 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0532
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 2 040.02 ₸ +1 698.48 ₸ per item · on the market 212 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

181.09 ₸

at 90.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 92.01 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 116.58 ₸ +26.04 ₸ per item · on the market 345 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) — 143.02 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 980.80 ₸ +33.97 (+1.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 76%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

882.62 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

520.72 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

584.38 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

501.94 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

667.00 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

1 755.62 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

1 748.37 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

5 981.22 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 166.10 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

1 040.76 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −167.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −16.14 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build