The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

4 049.23 ₸

at 449.91

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 517.94 ₸ +2 068.03 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0253
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.11 ₸ +2 639.20 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0304
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 789.57 ₸ +3 339.66 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0263

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

1 093.46 ₸

at 1 093.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) — 1 249.69 ₸ +156.23 ₸ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.2438
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) — 1 687.07 ₸ +593.61 ₸ per item · on the market 464 · buy 0.0700–0.1463

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 142.69 ₸ +5 070.87 (+98.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1762

449.91 ₸

at 449.91

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear) — 899.83 ₸ +449.91 ₸ per item · on the market 194 · buy 0.0700–0.0711
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 517.94 ₸ +2 068.03 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0355
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.11 ₸ +2 639.20 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0426

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

6 559.75 ₸

at 1 311.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 1 562.33 ₸ +250.38 ₸ per item · on the market 474 · buy 0.0700–0.1163
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +1 388.27 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0698

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

7 873.50 ₸

at 1 968.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +731.84 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 8 604.05 ₸ +6 635.67 ₸ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 883.16 ₸ +557.72 (+3.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

899.83 ₸

at 449.91

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 517.94 ₸ +2 068.03 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0281
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.11 ₸ +2 639.20 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0337
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 789.57 ₸ +3 339.66 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0292

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6 559.75 ₸

at 1 311.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 1 562.33 ₸ +250.38 ₸ per item · on the market 474 · buy 0.0700–0.1124
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +1 388.27 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0674

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

5 905.12 ₸

at 1 968.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +731.84 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 8 604.05 ₸ +6 635.67 ₸ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 364.70 ₸ +1 422.80 (+10.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

1 349.74 ₸

at 449.91

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 517.94 ₸ +2 068.03 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0230
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.11 ₸ +2 639.20 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0277
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 789.57 ₸ +3 339.66 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0240

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

6 559.75 ₸

at 1 311.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 1 562.33 ₸ +250.38 ₸ per item · on the market 474 · buy 0.0700–0.1098
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +1 388.27 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0659

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3 936.75 ₸

at 1 968.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +731.84 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Factory New) — 8 604.05 ₸ +6 635.67 ₸ per item · on the market 149 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 846.24 ₸ +2 287.81 (+19.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

1 799.66 ₸

at 449.91

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 2 517.94 ₸ +2 068.03 ₸ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 3 089.11 ₸ +2 639.20 ₸ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0273
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 3 789.57 ₸ +3 339.66 ₸ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0236

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 623.90 ₸

at 1 311.95

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) — 1 562.33 ₸ +250.38 ₸ per item · on the market 474 · buy 0.0700–0.1097
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +1 388.27 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0658

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

6 249.31 ₸

at 1 562.33

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) — 1 968.37 ₸ +406.05 ₸ per item · on the market 278 · buy 0.0000–0.0507
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) — 2 700.22 ₸ +1 137.89 ₸ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0000–0.0447

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 672.86 ₸ +2 807.80 (+26.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 891.98 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

10 866.95 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 223.55 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.038809

13 585.16 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | AXIA

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

23 431.76 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 535.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 504.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3344280 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 5 020.95₸ · invest 5 901.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −135 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162512 instead of 0.165846
Craft 3343678 · The Falchion Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 4 930.96₸ · invest 4 616.74₸
sells slowly

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.165846
Craft 3337320 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 910.14₸ · invest 4 667.92₸
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162285 instead of 0.165846
Craft 3336253 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 825.81₸ · invest 4 684.51₸
sells slowly

CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.165846

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build