The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5032

33.25 ₴

at 33.25

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 43.93 ₴ +10.68 ₴ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.3019
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₴ +11.90 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 63.76 ₴ +30.51 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.2516

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

361.24 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0316
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0379
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 380.34 ₴ +335.18 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0328

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1722

109.75 ₴

at 109.75

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) — 112.34 ₴ +2.60 ₴ per item · on the market 494 · buy 0.1500–0.1519
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) — 125.43 ₴ +15.68 ₴ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.2533

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 504.24 ₴ +86.22 (+17.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

270.93 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0243
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0292
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 380.34 ₴ +335.18 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

438.98 ₴

at 109.75

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) — 125.43 ₴ +15.68 ₴ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.2424
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) — 169.32 ₴ +59.58 ₴ per item · on the market 464 · buy 0.0700–0.1454

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 709.91 ₴ +30.55 (+4.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

86.46 ₴

at 43.23

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₴ +1.92 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.2228
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 84.84 ₴ +41.61 ₴ per item · on the market 158 · buy 0.0700–0.0975
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 104.18 ₴ +60.95 ₴ per item · on the market 248 · buy 0.0700–0.0812

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

225.78 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0220
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0264
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 380.34 ₴ +335.18 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0229

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

329.24 ₴

at 109.75

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) — 125.43 ₴ +15.68 ₴ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.2389
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) — 169.32 ₴ +59.58 ₴ per item · on the market 464 · buy 0.0700–0.1433

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 641.47 ₴ +48.99 (+7.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4793

33.25 ₴

at 33.25

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 43.93 ₴ +10.68 ₴ per item · on the market 370 · buy 0.1500–0.2876
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₴ +11.90 ₴ per item · on the market 218 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 63.76 ₴ +30.51 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.2396

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

316.09 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +207.56 ₴ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.0000–0.0218
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 310.04 ₴ +264.88 ₴ per item · on the market 199 · buy 0.0000–0.0262
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 380.34 ₴ +335.18 ₴ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.0000–0.0227

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

219.49 ₴

at 109.75

if this one runs out, you can take

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) — 125.43 ₴ +15.68 ₴ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.2386
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Minimal Wear) — 169.32 ₴ +59.58 ₴ per item · on the market 464 · buy 0.0700–0.1431

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 568.83 ₴ +71.63 (+12.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126257

402.18 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.040402

1 090.66 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.126257

371.73 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 363.47 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | AXIA

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.088380

1 029.62 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3343650 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 90.70₴ · invest 529.68₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.501769 instead of 0.503228; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171649 instead of 0.172259
Craft 3344203 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 88.67₴ · invest 459.71₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Battle-Scarred) instead of UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.490087 instead of 0.503228; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166763 instead of 0.172259

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

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The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build