The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

3.06 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1099
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1293
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0597

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

6.08 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0124
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0229

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.00 $ +8.70 (+79.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

1.26 $

at 0.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 0.71 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.76 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.0000–0.0533
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0350

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4.58 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1326
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.71 $ +3.25 (+42.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

3.82 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1145
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1322
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0622

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.56 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0137
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0252

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.24 $ +7.27 (+71.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5.35 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0030
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1126
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1310
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0612

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1.21 $

at 1.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1074
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +1.28 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1304
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.74 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0409

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.42 $ +4.72 (+56.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.63 $

at 0.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 0.71 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 0.76 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.0000–0.0526
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.15 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.82 $

at 0.76

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 1.78 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 808 · buy 0.0000–0.0029
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 1.83 $ +1.06 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 1.21 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1121
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 1.52 $ +0.59 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +2.02 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0609

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.04 $

at 1.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 2.50 $ +0.98 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0825
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 2.96 $ +1.44 $ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 3.13 $ +1.61 $ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0240

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.35 $ +5.97 (+63.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 62%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

9.33 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

85.09 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

31.03 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.32 $ 15.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

6.82 $ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.74 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

8.10 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5.25 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

0.99 $ 8.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.77 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3350710 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.72$ · invest 11.81$
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162046 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074189 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3350709 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9.22$ · invest 11.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3338869 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.89$ · invest 11.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162072 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074199 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3325192 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.34$ · invest 9.78$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162942 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074501 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3354065 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 8.30$ · invest 10.21$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167853 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076209 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3344193 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.93$ · invest 10.41$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P2000 | Handgun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003902; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161665 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3353597 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.69$ · invest 9.40$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.074460
Craft 3353596 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7.67$ · invest 9.13$
rare inputs

Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested), Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162964 instead of 0.162823; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074460

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build