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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices updated 24.10 01:22 MSK

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The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.73$

Invest 2.42$

Average return 3.15$

ROI +30.1%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 5.71 $, profit at most −2.56 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.84 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.00 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0827
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0827
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0827

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.83 $

at 0.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.28 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 0.68 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 585 · buy 0.0700–0.0745

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

0.60 $

at 0.60

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested) — 0.62 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.1500–0.1629
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested) — 0.62 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.1500–0.1629
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) — 0.66 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0700–0.0896

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.42 $ +0.73 (+30.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

0.40 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0872
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0872
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0872

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

4.09 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0617
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.1122

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

2.25 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.31 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.47 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0095

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.75 $ +0.27 (+4.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

0.20 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0853
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0853
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0853

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

4.78 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0603
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.1097

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

2.25 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.31 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.47 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.23 $ +0.35 (+4.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

1.00 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0852
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0852

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

2.73 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0602
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.1095

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1.13 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.31 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.47 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.86 $ +0.51 (+10.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.80 $

at 0.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.21 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 371 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.29 $ per item · on the market 141 · buy 0.0700–0.0831

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

3.41 $

at 0.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) — 1.13 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0588
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear) — 1.19 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.1069

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1.13 $

at 1.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 1.31 $ +0.18 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 1.47 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 2.00 $ +0.87 $ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.34 $ +0.58 (+10.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.049874

4.46 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069911

4.21 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

1.85 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083172

0.86 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

3.57 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

12.77 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

4.92 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

10.54 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.65 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

5.87 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3344696 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.76$ · invest 2.24$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)
Craft 3344793 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 0.74$ · invest 2.26$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513
Craft 3344443 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 0.73$ · invest 2.31$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074385 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074385 instead of 0.074513
Craft 3343477 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.73$ · invest 2.29$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513
Craft 3344416 · The Fever Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.73$ · invest 2.07$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513
Craft 3341360 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.72$ · invest 2.08$
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513
Craft 3334651 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.70$ · invest 2.04$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)
Craft 3344909 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.69$ · invest 2.00$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.074513

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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