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The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −92.26₴

Invest at least 160.11₴

Average return 67.85₴

ROI −57.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 160.11 ₴, profit at most −92.26 ₴

float premium: at least 89 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +10.67 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Runic

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3865

3.80 ₴

at 3.80

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.15 ₴ +0.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 668 · buy 0.1500–0.2705
Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) — 4.39 ₴ +0.59 ₴ per item · on the market 1 230 · buy 0.1500–0.3053
P2000 | Gnarled (Well-Worn) — 4.48 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 021 · buy 0.3800–0.3865

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

8.47 ₴

at 4.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 4.74 ₴ +0.50 ₴ per item · on the market 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1715
P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) — 5.23 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 895 · buy 0.1500–0.1715
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) — 6.27 ₴ +2.04 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0700–0.1355

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

52.23 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) — 7.95 ₴ +0.49 ₴ per item · on the market 968 · buy 0.1500–0.1517
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.62 ₴ +1.16 ₴ per item · on the market 1 525 · buy 0.1500–0.1896
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.56 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 106 · buy 0.1500–0.1904

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.50 ₴ +3.35 (+5.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

4.15 ₴

at 4.15

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 4.23 ₴ +0.08 ₴ per item · on the market 835 · buy 0.1500–0.2430
Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) — 4.39 ₴ +0.23 ₴ per item · on the market 1 230 · buy 0.1500–0.1920
P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 4.74 ₴ +0.58 ₴ per item · on the market 509 · buy 0.1500–0.2430

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

67.16 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested) — 7.95 ₴ +0.49 ₴ per item · on the market 968 · buy 0.1500–0.1504
P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.62 ₴ +1.16 ₴ per item · on the market 1 525 · buy 0.1500–0.1880
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.56 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 106 · buy 0.1500–0.1888

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.31 ₴ +10.67 (+15.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Runic

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

3.80 ₴

at 3.80

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.15 ₴ +0.36 ₴ per item · on the market 1 668 · buy 0.1500–0.2692
Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) — 4.39 ₴ +0.59 ₴ per item · on the market 1 230 · buy 0.1500–0.3038
P2000 | Gnarled (Well-Worn) — 4.48 ₴ +0.68 ₴ per item · on the market 1 021 · buy 0.3800–0.3846

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Runic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

4.23 ₴

at 4.23

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 4.74 ₴ +0.50 ₴ per item · on the market 509 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) — 5.23 ₴ +1.00 ₴ per item · on the market 895 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) — 6.27 ₴ +2.04 ₴ per item · on the market 367 · buy 0.0700–0.1306

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

59.70 ₴

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested) — 8.62 ₴ +1.16 ₴ per item · on the market 1 525 · buy 0.1500–0.1828
Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Field-Tested) — 12.56 ₴ +5.10 ₴ per item · on the market 1 106 · buy 0.1500–0.1835
MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +10.82 ₴ per item · on the market 549 · buy 0.0700–0.1462

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.73 ₴ +7.19 (+10.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

102.25 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167499

70.11 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

134.86 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

21.42 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

22.27 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

24.99 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

20.35 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Brother

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

16.74 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build