to all crafts

The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −171.25₴

Invest at least 873.95₴

Average return 702.70₴

ROI −19.6%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 873.95 ₴, profit at most −171.25 ₴

float premium: at least 497 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +563.01 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

114.07 ₴

at 22.81

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 25.90 ₴ +3.08 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 64.28 ₴ +41.46 ₴ per item · on the market 411 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 112.14 ₴ +89.33 ₴ per item · on the market 316 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

127.00 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1116
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1303
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0606

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

138.09 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0822
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0129
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 379.16 ₴ +323.54 (+85.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

SG 553 | Aerial

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0790

83.63 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Exo (Factory New) — 22.81 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 205 · buy 0.0000–0.0658
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +1.91 ₴ per item · on the market 179 · buy 0.0700–0.1487
PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear) — 23.00 ₴ +2.09 ₴ per item · on the market 194 · buy 0.0700–0.1316

Steam

×5

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

114.07 ₴

at 22.81

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 25.90 ₴ +3.08 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 64.28 ₴ +41.46 ₴ per item · on the market 411 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 112.14 ₴ +89.33 ₴ per item · on the market 316 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

42.33 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1239
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1381
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 240.04 ₴ +11.57 (+4.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

68.44 ₴

at 22.81

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 25.90 ₴ +3.08 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 64.28 ₴ +41.46 ₴ per item · on the market 411 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 112.14 ₴ +89.33 ₴ per item · on the market 316 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×4

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

220.77 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1317
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0416

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

207.13 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0847
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 496.34 ₴ +431.91 (+87.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

22.81 ₴

at 22.81

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 25.90 ₴ +3.08 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 64.28 ₴ +41.46 ₴ per item · on the market 411 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 112.14 ₴ +89.33 ₴ per item · on the market 316 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

84.67 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1131
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1313
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0614

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

483.30 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0829
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 590.78 ₴ +563.01 (+95.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×6

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

136.89 ₴

at 22.81

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 25.90 ₴ +3.08 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 64.28 ₴ +41.46 ₴ per item · on the market 411 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 112.14 ₴ +89.33 ₴ per item · on the market 316 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

84.67 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 55.19 ₴ +12.86 ₴ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.1128
UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +26.71 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1311
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +91.98 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0613

Steam

×2

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

110.38 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1304
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0409

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 331.94 ₴ +257.99 (+77.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

423.99 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 866.84 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 409.94 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

125.43 ₴ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Aristocrat

Factory New

float up to 0.057749

193.14 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Phobos

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

290.84 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Chopper

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

130.24 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Reboot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

106.80 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

77.26 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +183.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +258.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3353598 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 341.06₴ · invest 400.24₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162624 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074391 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3335306 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 330.63₴ · invest 390.87₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165057 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075237 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3353599 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 325.47₴ · invest 400.24₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New)
Craft 3356108 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 320.06₴ · invest 379.08₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New)
Craft 3338198 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 319.65₴ · invest 379.16₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New)
Craft 3357229 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 317.87₴ · invest 385.28₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New)
Craft 3334360 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 316.65₴ · invest 412.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164762 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075134 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3357230 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 315.69₴ · invest 411.99₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165757 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075480 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3356962 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 314.76₴ · invest 399.18₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161747 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074086 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3334361 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 311.29₴ · invest 386.27₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163515 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074700 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3356959 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 311.13₴ · invest 352.85₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3356960 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 305.60₴ · invest 392.96₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear), Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164991 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3356599 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 304.14₴ · invest 414.90₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161700 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3354064 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 278.11₴ · invest 397.98₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161707 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3357106 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 274.17₴ · invest 302.29₴
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162328 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074288 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3335305 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 268.33₴ · invest 369.25₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162569 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074371 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3347462 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 267.66₴ · invest 418.31₴
rare inputs

Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161518 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3357107 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.59₴ · invest 329.00₴
rare inputs

AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163640 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074744 instead of 0.074988
Craft 3339897 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.09₴ · invest 316.12₴
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164012 instead of 0.164343; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074873 instead of 0.074988

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build