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The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −73.28$

Invest at least 206.31$

Average return 133.02$

ROI −35.5%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 206.31 $, profit at most −73.28 $

float premium: at least 113 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +48.78 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

5.82 $

at 5.82

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 9.68 $ +3.87 $ per item · on the market 85 · buy 0.0700–0.1442
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 10.47 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.1500–0.2060

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

49.95 $

at 8.33

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 24.01 $ +15.69 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0939
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 38.46 $ +30.14 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0657

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

30.25 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0350
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0234

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.02 $ +47.00 (+54.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

11.22 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) — 5.82 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.1500–0.1984
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 10.47 $ +4.86 $ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.1500–0.2480

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

80.66 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0473
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0317

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.88 $ +39.22 (+42.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

66.60 $

at 8.33

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 24.01 $ +15.69 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0976
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 38.46 $ +30.14 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0683

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

20.16 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0469
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0314

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.77 $ +46.64 (+53.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

5.61 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) — 5.82 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.1500–0.1920
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 10.47 $ +4.86 $ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.1500–0.2400

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

41.63 $

at 8.33

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 24.01 $ +15.69 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0700–0.0953
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 38.46 $ +30.14 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0667

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

40.33 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0395
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 87.57 $ +45.07 (+51.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

5.61 $

at 5.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) — 5.82 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.1500–0.1897
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 10.47 $ +4.86 $ per item · on the market 288 · buy 0.1500–0.2371

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

9.08 $

at 9.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) — 11.41 $ +2.33 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.3448
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 14.20 $ +5.12 $ per item · on the market 399 · buy 0.1500–0.2310

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

80.66 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0366
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.35 $ +35.37 (+37.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 35%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254.84 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

53.76 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

183.91 $ 15.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

115.86 $ 15.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 only The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +43.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3347646 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 46.45$ · invest 94.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −42 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163283 instead of 0.164874; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074620 instead of 0.075173
Craft 3346989 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.21$ · invest 102.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −53 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.075173
Craft 3337609 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 37.92$ · invest 98.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −40 $ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 6; Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075227 instead of 0.075173
Craft 3337608 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 37.40$ · invest 116.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074390 instead of 0.075173

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build