The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAC-10 | Aloha

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

180.20 ₴

at 180.20

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) — 201.20 ₴ +20.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1754
FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested) — 208.31 ₴ +28.11 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.1503
Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested) — 209.04 ₴ +28.84 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1500–0.2505

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

621.39 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0124
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0229

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 801.59 ₴ +538.85 (+67.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −223 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

418.08 ₴

at 209.04

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Minimal Wear) — 250.33 ₴ +41.28 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.1184
MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) — 250.85 ₴ +41.81 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) — 263.31 ₴ +54.27 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.1099

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

519.46 ₴

at 259.73

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 263.31 ₴ +3.58 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) — 411.29 ₴ +151.56 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 464.07 ₴ +204.34 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

414.26 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0847
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 351.80 ₴ +134.26 (+9.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAC-10 | Aloha

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

180.20 ₴

at 180.20

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) — 201.20 ₴ +20.99 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.1500–0.1795
FAMAS | Macabre (Field-Tested) — 208.31 ₴ +28.11 ₴ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.1538
Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested) — 209.04 ₴ +28.84 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1500–0.2564

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

259.73 ₴

at 259.73

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 263.31 ₴ +3.58 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) — 411.29 ₴ +151.56 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 464.07 ₴ +204.34 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

552.34 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0834
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0136
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 992.28 ₴ +396.71 (+40.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

418.08 ₴

at 209.04

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Minimal Wear) — 250.33 ₴ +41.28 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) — 250.85 ₴ +41.81 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) — 263.31 ₴ +54.27 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.1070

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

259.73 ₴

at 259.73

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 263.31 ₴ +3.58 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0028
FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) — 411.29 ₴ +151.56 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 464.07 ₴ +204.34 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

483.30 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0823
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0130
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 161.11 ₴ +276.41 (+23.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −427 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Cut Out

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

418.08 ₴

at 209.04

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Minimal Wear) — 250.33 ₴ +41.28 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.1136
MAG-7 | Hard Water (Minimal Wear) — 250.85 ₴ +41.81 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) — 263.31 ₴ +54.27 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.1055

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Metal Flowers

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

779.19 ₴

at 259.73

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) — 263.31 ₴ +3.58 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0024
FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) — 411.29 ₴ +151.56 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) — 464.07 ₴ +204.34 ₴ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0035

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

55.19 ₴

at 55.19

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 69.04 ₴ +13.85 ₴ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +58.26 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.1294
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +79.12 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

276.17 ₴

at 69.04

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 113.45 ₴ +44.40 ₴ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 134.31 ₴ +65.27 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 142.19 ₴ +73.15 ₴ per item · on the market 126 · buy 0.0000–0.0227

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 528.64 ₴ +5.97 (+0.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

423.99 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 866.84 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 409.94 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

241.96 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Orbit Mk01

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

4 461.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Woodsman

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 533.68 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

P250 | Red Rock

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 749.09 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

P90 | Death Grip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 395.56 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Death's Head

Factory New

float up to 0.035699

1 079.75 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +272.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +421.06 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3357568 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 524.25₴ · invest 718.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075886 instead of 0.074480
Craft 3357549 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 509.87₴ · invest 763.52₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075645 instead of 0.074480
Craft 3357543 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 505.17₴ · invest 723.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Magma (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.074480

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build

What you get 9 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build