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The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +25.31$

Invest 99.53$

Average return 124.84$

ROI +25.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 243.50 $, profit at most −118.66 $

float premium: at least 142 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +28.11 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

19.88 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.21 $ +3.27 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0390
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.95 $ +23.01 $ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1781

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

9.08 $

at 9.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested) — 11.41 $ +2.33 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.3454
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested) — 14.20 $ +5.12 $ per item · on the market 399 · buy 0.1500–0.2314

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

70.57 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0384
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0257

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.53 $ +25.31 (+25.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

29.81 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.21 $ +3.27 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0458
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.95 $ +23.01 $ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1916

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1822

70.57 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0595
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0399

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.39 $ +21.71 (+21.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

39.75 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.21 $ +3.27 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0429
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.95 $ +23.01 $ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1858

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

60.49 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0504
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0338

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.24 $ +19.10 (+19.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

49.69 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.21 $ +3.27 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0400
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.95 $ +23.01 $ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1801

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

50.41 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0414
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0277

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.10 $ +16.50 (+16.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

59.63 $

at 9.94

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 13.21 $ +3.27 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0384
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 32.95 $ +23.01 $ per item · on the market 1 255 · buy 0.1500–0.1769

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

26.42 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0908
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1097

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

20.16 $

at 10.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 30.90 $ +20.82 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0365
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 58.81 $ +48.73 $ per item · on the market 102 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.21 $ +2.14 (+2.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

183.91 $ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

115.86 $ 40.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

111.16 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

125.42 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 only The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3347936 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 31.61$ · invest 106.12$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385774 instead of 0.385260; G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168974 instead of 0.167285
Craft 3355969 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 27.53$ · invest 92.71$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170951 instead of 0.167285
Craft 3336845 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 26.09$ · invest 106.68$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested), Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385483 instead of 0.385260; G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168015 instead of 0.167285
Craft 3356141 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 25.85$ · invest 104.01$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Elite Build (Well-Worn), AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested), G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.167285

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build