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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −139.47$

Invest at least 285.49$

Average return 146.02$

ROI −48.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 285.49 $, profit at most −139.47 $

float premium: at least 163 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +39.63 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

66.05 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0907
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1095

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

14.76 $

at 7.38

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 16.94 $ +9.56 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.1178
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 17.20 $ +9.82 $ per item · on the market 637 · buy 0.1500–0.1765

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

39.70 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0536
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0912

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120.51 $ +25.51 (+21.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

39.63 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0983
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1164

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0794

92.64 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0564
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.27 $ +31.02 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

52.84 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0938
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1123

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

7.38 $

at 7.38

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 16.94 $ +9.56 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.1211
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 17.20 $ +9.82 $ per item · on the market 637 · buy 0.1500–0.1808

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

66.17 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0548
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.39 $ +28.27 (+22.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

92.47 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0930
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1116

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

22.14 $

at 7.38

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 16.94 $ +9.56 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.1202
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 17.20 $ +9.82 $ per item · on the market 637 · buy 0.1500–0.1797

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.61 $ +14.15 (+12.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

13.21 $

at 13.21

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 13.92 $ +0.71 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0800–0.0915
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 147.10 $ +133.89 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1000–0.1103

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

105.88 $

at 13.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 32.00 $ +18.77 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0000–0.0539
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 32.73 $ +19.49 $ per item · on the market 214 · buy 0.0700–0.0916

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

32.00 $

at 32.00

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 46.31 $ +14.31 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 140.01 $ +108.01 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0200–0.0268

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 151.09 $ +29.46 (+19.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

111.16 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

125.42 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

225.28 $ 25.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209.86 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.67 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build