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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −663.88$

Invest at least 1 394.19$

Average return 730.31$

ROI −47.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 394.19 $, profit at most −663.88 $

float premium: at least 810 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −447.35 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

64.16 $

at 64.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.25 $ +22.09 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0407
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.28 $ +42.13 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

78.00 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +49.76 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0370

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

430.01 $

at 71.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0027
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0018

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 572.17 $ +158.14 (+27.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

172.50 $

at 86.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.28 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0118
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.87 $ +113.62 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0312

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

78.00 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +49.76 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0597
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0398

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

358.34 $

at 71.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 608.85 $ +98.56 (+16.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −152 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

258.75 $

at 86.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.28 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0113
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.87 $ +113.62 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0307

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

78.00 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +49.76 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0594
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0396

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

286.67 $

at 71.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 623.43 $ +61.07 (+9.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −234 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

345.00 $

at 86.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.28 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.87 $ +113.62 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0302

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

78.00 $

at 26.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +49.76 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0591
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +74.00 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0394

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

215.00 $

at 71.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 75.77 $ +4.10 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 100.00 $ +28.34 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 638.01 $ +23.59 (+3.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 372.99 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

185.03 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

439.93 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

765.66 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +138.08 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +155.89 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3352763 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 143.52$ · invest 590.25$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.074123; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.003607

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build