Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3358165 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
18 660.04 ₽
at 4 665.01
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 077.12 ₽+7 412.11 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 159 · from 45 523.16 ₽ (float 0.0005) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
18 300.32 ₽
at 18 300.32
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 658.69 ₽+5 358.37 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs36 960.36 ₽
−4 445.46
(−12.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −6 681 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −6 681 ₽: ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
4 665.01 ₽
at 4 665.01
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 077.12 ₽+7 412.11 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 159 · from 45 523.16 ₽ (float 0.0005) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
73 201.28 ₽
at 18 300.32
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 658.69 ₽+5 358.37 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs77 866.29 ₽
+6 057.38
(+7.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −9 915 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −9 915 ₽: ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
9 330.02 ₽
at 4 665.01
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 077.12 ₽+7 412.11 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 159 · from 45 523.16 ₽ (float 0.0005) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
54 900.96 ₽
at 18 300.32
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 658.69 ₽+5 358.37 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs64 230.98 ₽
+2 556.43
(+4.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
13 995.03 ₽
at 4 665.01
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 077.12 ₽+7 412.11 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 159 · from 45 523.16 ₽ (float 0.0005) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
36 600.64 ₽
at 18 300.32
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 23 658.69 ₽+5 358.37 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 36 432.23 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 27 356.31 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
now 22 451.13 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 26 954.00 ₽sell now to a buy order: 22 743.27 ₽
(you get 19 776.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 572
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 882.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 800.74 · lots 11price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 17 714.84 ₽listings: 117
on CS.Money: ~ 19 910.37 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 18 879.03 ₽listings: 68
month average 19 322.93 ₽, sold 16 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 16 311.06 ₽
(you get 14 183.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 325
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 354.87 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 739.99 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 13 191.73 ₽listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 14 768.13 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 068.55 ₽listings: 40
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 001.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 16 001.54 ₽
(you get 13 914.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 166
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 321.27 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 185.61 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 17 066.72 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 16 138.43 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 191.52 ₽listings: 10
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 244.23 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 244.23 ₽
(you get 11 516.72 ₽)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 685.66 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 102.70 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 14 516.14 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 105.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 807.59 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 31 665.02 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 357.64 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 286.89 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 25 639.54 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 27 669.22 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 28 372.89 ₽listings: 20
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 12 015.79 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 261.02 ₽listings 3 · you get 12 015.79 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 6 688.77 ₽
(you get 5 816.32 ₽)) · buy orders: 78not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 12 261.02 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 272.29 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 272.29 ₽
(you get 12 410.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 17 040.16 ₽
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 938.05 ₽sell now to a buy order: 43 938.05 ₽
(you get 38 207.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 70 501.08 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80 716.31 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 20 858.21 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 21 283.89 ₽listings 4 · you get 20 858.21 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 15 005.75 ₽
(you get 13 048.47 ₽)) · buy orders: 50not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 21 283.89 ₽listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 572.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 572.01 ₽
(you get 11 801.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 12 833.46 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 12 479.12 ₽
(you get 10 851.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 23 064.79 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 16 311.03 ₽
(you get 14 183.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 101Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 15 337.68 ₽sells 14 a weeknow 17 638.33 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 19 279.84 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 765.99 ₽
(you get 13 709.55 ₽)) · buy orders: 1056
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 046.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 401.32 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 14 089.43 ₽listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 15 130.43 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 522.63 ₽listings: 48
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 148 380.03 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 151 408.20 ₽listings 284 · you get 148 380.03 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 165 483.12 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 181 450.80 · lots 18price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 151 408.20 ₽listings: 284
on CS.Money: ~ 172 651.03 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 164 531.50 ₽listings: 189
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 113 630.51 ₽sell now to a buy order: 113 630.51 ₽
(you get 98 809.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 1359
sell on Market.CSGO: 99 990.54 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 109 638.75 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 95 808.10 ₽listings: 146
on CS.Money: ~ 117 751.38 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 99 305.50 ₽listings: 70
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 79 748.97 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 81 376.51 ₽listings 10 · you get 79 748.97 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 81 376.51 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 100 076.80 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 99 917.39 ₽listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 807.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 80 807.53 ₽
(you get 70 267.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 362Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 65 409.56 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 75 995.95 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 75 258.47 ₽listings: 16
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 102 903.98 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 105 004.07 ₽listings 23 · you get 102 903.98 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 131 509.22 ₽
(you get 114 355.84 ₽)) · buy orders: 413Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 105 004.07 ₽listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 107 510.38 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 105 078.95 ₽listings: 24
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 55 243.97 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 371.40 ₽listings 5 · you get 55 243.97 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 273.83 ₽
(you get 48 933.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 129Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 56 371.40 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 49 725.21 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 70 219.34 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 71 652.39 ₽listings 4 · you get 70 219.34 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 72 794.89 ₽
(you get 63 299.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 71 652.39 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 71 365.77 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 348 207.33 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 355 313.61 ₽listings 3 · you get 348 207.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 163 117.91 ₽
(you get 141 841.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 355 313.61 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 350 807.41 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 376 358.39 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 102 152.85 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 104 237.61 ₽listings 6 · you get 102 152.85 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 97 870.00 ₽
(you get 85 104.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 104 237.61 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 67 065.67 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 68 434.36 ₽listings 6 · you get 67 065.67 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 68 567.61 ₽
(you get 59 624.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 68 434.36 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 41 734.03 ₽
(you get 36 290.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 57 696.61 ₽listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 74 166.74 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 75 680.35 ₽listings 9 · you get 74 166.74 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 62 505.18 ₽
(you get 54 352.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 75 680.35 ₽listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 87 244.15 ₽listings: 3
Steam★ Butterfly Knifenet 96 613.62 ₽The Breakout Collectionsells 4 a weeknow 111 105.66 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 120 808.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 103 096.11 ₽
(you get 89 648.79 ₽)) · buy orders: 3462
sell on Market.CSGO: 92 112.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 101 000.00 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 84 998.70 ₽listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 101 170.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 89 804.40 ₽listings: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3718 660.04 → 44 130.99 ₽
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1618 300.32 → 39 528.69 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−6 302.85 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−4 725.61 ₽historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3358166
· The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −4 445.46₽
· invest 36 960.36₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.