Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3358183 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
311.34 $
at 155.67
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.40 $+64.73 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 621.03 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 137 · from 320.18 $ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
681.91 $
at 227.30
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 293.86 $+66.55 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0155
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 452.51 $ · among lots up to 496.83 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 339.78 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs993.25 $
−178.01
(−17.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(11% of this wear's listings)
622.68 $
at 155.67
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.40 $+64.73 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 246.23 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 137 · from 220.94 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
227.30 $
at 227.30
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 293.86 $+66.55 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 452.51 $ · among lots up to 496.83 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 115 · from 339.78 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs849.98 $
−474.74
(−55.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(3% of this wear's listings)
467.01 $
at 155.67
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.40 $+64.73 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 621.03 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 137 · from 220.94 $ (float 0.0092) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
454.60 $
at 227.30
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 293.86 $+66.55 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0177
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 452.51 $ · among lots up to 496.83 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 115 · from 339.78 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs921.61 $
−326.37
(−35.4%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(3% of this wear's listings)
155.67 $
at 155.67
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.40 $+64.73 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 621.03 $ · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 137 · from 320.18 $ (float 0.0042) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
909.21 $
at 227.30
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 293.86 $+66.55 $ per item · on the market 35 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 452.51 $ · among lots up to 496.83 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 115 · from 339.78 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 1 842.98 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 880.59 $listings 284 · you get 1 842.98 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 055.41 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 253.74 · lots 18price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 1 880.59 $listings: 284
on CS.Money: ~ 2 144.44 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2 043.59 $listings: 189
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 411.37 $sell now to a buy order: 1 411.37 $
(you get 1 227.27 $)) · buy orders: 1359
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 241.95 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 361.79 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 1 190.00 $listings: 146
on CS.Money: ~ 1 462.55 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 233.44 $listings: 70
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 990.53 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 010.75 $listings 10 · you get 990.53 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 010.75 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 1 243.02 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 241.04 $listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 003.68 $sell now to a buy order: 1 003.68 $
(you get 872.77 $)) · buy orders: 362Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 812.43 $listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 943.92 $
on Lis-Skins: from 934.76 $listings: 16
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 278.14 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 304.22 $listings 23 · you get 1 278.14 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 633.43 $
(you get 1 420.38 $)) · buy orders: 413Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 304.22 $listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 1 335.35 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 305.15 $listings: 24
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 686.17 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 700.17 $listings 5 · you get 686.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 698.96 $
(you get 607.79 $)) · buy orders: 129Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 700.17 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 617.62 $listings: 5
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 872.17 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 889.97 $listings 4 · you get 872.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 904.16 $
(you get 786.23 $)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 889.97 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 886.41 $listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 4 324.97 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 4 413.23 $listings 3 · you get 4 324.97 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 026.03 $
(you get 1 761.77 $)) · buy orders: 152not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 4 413.23 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 4 357.26 $
on Lis-Skins: from 4 674.62 $listings: 7
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 1 268.81 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 294.70 $listings 6 · you get 1 268.81 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 215.61 $
(you get 1 057.05 $)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 294.70 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 833.00 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 850.00 $listings 6 · you get 833.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 851.66 $
(you get 740.57 $)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 850.00 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 518.36 $
(you get 450.75 $)) · buy orders: 127not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 716.63 $listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 921.20 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 940.00 $listings 9 · you get 921.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 776.36 $
(you get 675.09 $)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 940.00 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 1 083.63 $listings: 3
Steam★ Butterfly Knifenet 1 200.01 $The Breakout Collectionsells 4 a weeknow 1 380.01 $ — cheaper than the month average 1 500.52 $sell now to a buy order: 1 280.52 $
(you get 1 113.50 $)) · buy orders: 3462
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 144.09 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 254.49 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 1 055.74 $listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 1 256.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 115.43 $listings: 96
now 228.19 $ — cheaper than the month average 275.90 $sell now to a buy order: 217.98 $
(you get 189.55 $)) · buy orders: 845
sell on Market.CSGO: 187.02 $ to your card
cheapest lot 205.07 · lots 17price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 170.30 $listings: 102
on CS.Money: ~ 190.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 178.50 $listings: 57
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 257.71 $sells 8 a weekmonth average 296.36 $, sold 16 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 253.75 $
(you get 220.65 $)) · buy orders: 383Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 208.00 $listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 227.84 $
on Lis-Skins: from 255.98 $listings: 11
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 262.07 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.38 $sell now to a buy order: 301.38 $
(you get 262.07 $)) · buy orders: 143Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 279.83 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 307.36 $
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 156.42 $sell now to a buy order: 156.42 $
(you get 136.01 $)) · buy orders: 126Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 193.11 $listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 314.47 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 361.64 $sell now to a buy order: 361.64 $
(you get 314.47 $)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 308.00 $listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 314.20 $
on Lis-Skins: from 338.43 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 139.77 $sell now to a buy order: 139.77 $
(you get 121.54 $)) · buy orders: 139Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 99.34 $sell now to a buy order: 99.34 $
(you get 86.38 $)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 658.45 $
(you get 572.57 $)) · buy orders: 40Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 294.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.00 $listings 3 · you get 294.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 226.81 $
(you get 197.23 $)) · buy orders: 80
sell on Market.CSGO: 381.02 $ to your card
cheapest lot 417.79 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 300.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 342.59 $listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 142.06 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 144.96 $listings 3 · you get 142.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 94.63 $
(you get 82.29 $)) · buy orders: 104not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 144.96 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 123.23 $sell now to a buy order: 123.23 $
(you get 107.16 $)) · buy orders: 61not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 171.64 $listings: 6
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 98.32 $sells 17 a weeknow 113.07 $ — cheaper than the month average 135.03 $sell now to a buy order: 109.30 $
(you get 95.04 $)) · buy orders: 1827
sell on Market.CSGO: 94.17 $ to your card
cheapest lot 103.26 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 100.00 $listings: 26
on CS.Money: ~ 104.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 92.85 $listings: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 212% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.21311.34 → 688.06 $
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 312% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.26681.91 → 1 541.11 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−202.92 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−183.20 $historical median
5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.