The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −25 095.51₴

Invest at least 33 670.36₴

Average return 8 574.86₴

ROI −74.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 33 670.36 ₴, profit at most −25 095.51 ₴

float premium: at least 17 386 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 321.62 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

4 055.94 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 407.69 ₴ +4 351.74 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

10 532.57 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 588.51 ₴ −6 013.65 (−41.2%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

12 167.83 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 407.69 ₴ +4 351.74 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

5 266.28 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 434.12 ₴ −9 070.33 (−52.0%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3

×2

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

8 111.89 ₴

at 4 055.94

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 407.69 ₴ +4 351.74 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

7 899.43 ₴

at 2 633.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 6 816.87 ₴ +4 183.73 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 011.32 ₴ −7 541.99 (−47.1%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 73%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 672.43 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 906.73 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 031.99 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 475.64 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 873.17 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 920.67 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 055.92 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 800.62 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 013.59 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 660.65 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 955.87 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 134.62 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 589.54 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 087.00 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 837.85 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 512.46 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 388.99 ₴ 0.71%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 532.57 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 044.51 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 981.48 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 724.20 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 034.98 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 356.48 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 061.47 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 336.10 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 026.12 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

8 229.45 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

5 295.20 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 235.18 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

29 765.70 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 578.38 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 192.35 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

13 133.61 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 859.28 ₴ 0.71%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 725.43 ₴ 0.71%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 674.41 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

2 594.99 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 728.86 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 842.97 ₴ 0.71%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 055.94 → 8 760.84 ₴

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 10 532.57 → 24 909.52 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6 947.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 160.27 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3358275 · The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −5 800.06₴ · invest 13 875.27₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 3358276 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −5 800.06₴ · invest 13 875.27₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)
Craft 3358260 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −6 013.65₴ · invest 14 588.51₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build