The Glove Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −56 291.24₴

Invest at least 214 491.22₴

Average return 158 199.97₴

ROI −26.2%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 214 491.22 ₴, profit at most −56 291.24 ₴

float premium: at least 118 452 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −87 389.29 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

67 257.25 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

25 661.03 ₴

at 25 661.03

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 547.39 ₴ +5 886.36 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 92 918.28 ₴ +65 281.70 (+70.3%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

16 814.31 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

102 644.12 ₴

at 25 661.03

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 547.39 ₴ +5 886.36 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 119 458.43 ₴ +38 741.54 (+32.4%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

33 628.62 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

76 983.09 ₴

at 25 661.03

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 547.39 ₴ +5 886.36 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 110 611.71 ₴ +47 588.26 (+43.0%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

50 442.94 ₴

at 16 814.31

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 25 004.47 ₴ +8 190.16 ₴ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

51 322.06 ₴

at 25 661.03

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 547.39 ₴ +5 886.36 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 101 765.00 ₴ +56 434.98 (+55.5%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 042.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.51 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 701.06 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 420.16 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 765.85 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 670.06 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.75 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 136.30 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 806.21 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 630.91 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 662.03 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.63 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195 360.33 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 510.60 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414 858.71 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 965.36 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 820.96 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.96 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 056.44 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 042.59 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.51 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 701.06 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 420.16 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 765.85 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 670.06 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.75 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 136.30 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 806.21 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 630.91 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 662.03 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.63 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195 360.33 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 510.60 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414 858.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 965.36 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 820.96 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.96 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.94 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.32 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 056.44 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Chroma Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +64 742.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +65 215.98 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3359027 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 65 281.69₴ · invest 92 918.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build