StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3361130 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
23 636.00 ₽
at 5 909.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 452.40 ₽ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
15 778.15 ₽
at 15 778.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+808.56 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 12 068.55 ₽ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs39 414.15 ₽
−24 825.86
(−63.0%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
17 727.00 ₽
at 5 909.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 452.40 ₽ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
31 556.30 ₽
at 15 778.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+808.56 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 12 068.55 ₽ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs49 283.30 ₽
−27 495.77
(−55.8%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
11 818.00 ₽
at 5 909.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 452.40 ₽ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
31 556.30 ₽
at 15 778.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+808.56 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 12 068.55 ₽ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
16 665.75 ₽
at 16 665.75
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 15 778.15 ₽cheaper by 887.60 ₽ · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 13 644.30 ₽ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Set · 5 pcs60 040.05 ₽
−31 053.28
(−51.7%)
!
The gain is understated:2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈21≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
5 909.00 ₽
at 5 909.00
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) — 6 003.94 ₽+94.94 ₽ per item · on the market 7 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 16 · good ≈ 16Lis-Skins: suitable 115 of 115 · from 4 452.40 ₽ (float 0.7201) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex
Field-Tested
any lot
31 556.30 ₽
at 15 778.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) — 16 586.71 ₽+808.56 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3800–0.4500
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.760000wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 21 · good ≈ 21Lis-Skins: suitable 92 of 92 · from 12 068.55 ₽ (float 0.2101) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
×2
StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov
Battle-Scarred
any lot
33 331.50 ₽
at 16 665.75
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 15 778.15 ₽cheaper by 887.60 ₽ · on the market 21 · buy0.1500–0.3800
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–0.9200on the market 7 · good ≈ 7Lis-Skins: suitable 23 of 23 · from 13 644.30 ₽ (float 0.5602) · craft not before 31.10 · data 23.10 13:22 MSK
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)sell now to a buy order: 25 728.83 ₽
(you get 22 372.89 ₽)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 18 221.09 ₽sell now to a buy order: 18 221.09 ₽
(you get 15 844.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 113
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 623.97 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 20 421.02 · lots 4CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 19 457.90 ₽listings: 5
BS costs more than MW: 11 814.45 ₽ versus 10 706.96 ₽ — calculated at the price of MWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 814.45 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 814.45 ₽
(you get 10 273.43 ₽)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 005.12 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 14 260.00 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 11 657.19 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 12 050.89 ₽listings: 6
BS costs more than WW: 9 398.60 ₽ versus 7 185.45 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 398.60 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 398.60 ₽
(you get 8 172.69 ₽)) · buy orders: 81
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 304.90 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 9 106.25 · lots 3CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 174.84 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 174.84 ₽
(you get 11 456.38 ₽)) · buy orders: 104
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 321.59 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 799.99 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 14 491.98 ₽listings: 8Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 838.08 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 838.08 ₽
(you get 4 207.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 102
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 239.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 6 842.10 · lots 7CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
BS costs more than FT: 7 358.88 ₽ versus 6 365.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 7 358.88 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 7 499.06 ₽
(you get 6 520.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 124Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 6 093.88 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 6 217.06 ₽listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 13 806.65 ₽ versus 12 232.73 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 806.65 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 806.65 ₽
(you get 12 005.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 60not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 7 262.06 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
BS costs more than WW: 11 948.66 ₽ versus 8 351.37 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 948.66 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 948.66 ₽
(you get 10 390.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 77
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 546.17 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 12 660.28 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 8 301.49 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 284.35 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 284.35 ₽
(you get 4 595.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 83not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 998.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 998.53 ₽
(you get 5 216.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 184.47 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 7 877.71 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 6 327.36 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 6 540.71 ₽listings: 3
BS costs more than FT: 6 442.25 ₽ versus 6 120.44 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 442.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 442.25 ₽
(you get 5 601.95 ₽)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 987.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 987.01 ₽
(you get 10 423.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 261
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 315.15 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 13 503.46 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 10 630.67 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 11 954.28 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 11 666.85 ₽listings: 25
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 163 116.06 ₽
(you get 141 840.05 ₽)) · buy orders: 144not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 113 633.25 ₽sell now to a buy order: 113 633.25 ₽
(you get 98 811.52 ₽)) · buy orders: 331
sell on Market.CSGO: 120 431.11 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 132 051.66 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 94 040.08 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 94 397.55 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 109 145.56 ₽listings: 9
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 56 748.37 ₽sell now to a buy order: 56 748.37 ₽
(you get 49 346.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 154Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 57 393.08 ₽listings: 10
on Lis-Skins: from 54 295.02 ₽listings: 8
BS costs more than FT: 54 358.32 ₽ versus 52 214.56 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 54 358.32 ₽sell now to a buy order: 54 358.32 ₽
(you get 47 268.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 246
sell on Market.CSGO: 43 037.28 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 47 190.00 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 39 450.40 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 46 901.69 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 42 178.11 ₽listings: 16
BS costs more than FT: 72 705.03 ₽ versus 65 345.86 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 72 705.03 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 75 996.84 ₽
(you get 66 084.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 360
sell on Market.CSGO: 59 786.16 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 65 555.00 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 61 429.90 ₽listings: 13
on Lis-Skins: from 66 659.09 ₽listings: 8
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 710.68 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 710.68 ₽
(you get 28 444.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 37 376.43 ₽listings: 9
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 32 311.69 ₽sell now to a buy order: 32 311.69 ₽
(you get 28 097.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 133Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 633.32 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 35 928.04 ₽listings: 4
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 45 839.78 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 46 775.29 ₽listings 6 · you get 45 839.78 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 53 952.45 ₽
(you get 46 915.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 149
sell on Market.CSGO: 67 058.86 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 73 529.46 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 46 775.29 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 46 391.25 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 50 724.35 ₽listings: 17
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 346.74 ₽sell now to a buy order: 38 346.74 ₽
(you get 33 344.99 ₽)) · buy orders: 141
sell on Market.CSGO: 40 796.76 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 44 733.29 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 37 840.18 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 38 923.05 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 41 022.78 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 33 195.93 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 873.40 ₽listings 3 · you get 33 195.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 35 244.30 ₽
(you get 30 647.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 162
sell on Market.CSGO: 46 204.49 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 50 662.82 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 33 873.40 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 36 783.87 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 37 232.32 ₽listings: 9
BS costs more than FT: 48 336.06 ₽ versus 42 166.80 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 48 336.06 ₽sell now to a buy order: 48 336.06 ₽
(you get 42 031.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 169not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 32 848.49 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 34 540.03 ₽listings: 13
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 33 123.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 33 123.36 ₽
(you get 28 802.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 228
sell on Market.CSGO: 38 383.06 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 42 086.69 · lots 4CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 36 928.79 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 35 806.47 ₽listings: 14
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knifenet 79 232.17 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 80 849.16 ₽listings 17 · you get 79 232.17 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 114 349.48 ₽
(you get 99 434.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 565
sell on Market.CSGO: 86 639.80 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 94 999.79 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 80 849.16 ₽listings: 17
on CS.Money: ~ 95 030.37 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 83 972.99 ₽listings: 34
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4100% of the wear range fits×1.0123 636.00 → 23 910.18 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0815 778.15 → 16 983.60 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.952000000
outcomes come out up to 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000, 0.076160, 0.248000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.952000, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.764480, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−26 403.68 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−25 021.52 ₽historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3361730
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −23 988.80₽
· invest 34 726.71₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3361737
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −23 988.80₽
· invest 34 726.71₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3362104
· The Falchion Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −24 007.67₽
· invest 34 745.58₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3362111
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −24 007.67₽
· invest 34 745.58₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 3361134
· The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −24 825.86₽
· invest 39 414.15₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.