The 2018 Nuke Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

2 844.81 ₸

at 711.20

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 953.37 ₸ +242.17 ₸ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0818
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 2 751.73 ₸ +2 040.53 ₸ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1145

Steam

×6

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

4 796.31 ₸

at 799.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) — 821.37 ₸ +21.99 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) — 943.41 ₸ +144.03 ₸ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) — 1 301.49 ₸ +502.10 ₸ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 641.11 ₸ +11 188.12 (+146.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 190 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

1 422.40 ₸

at 711.20

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 953.37 ₸ +242.17 ₸ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0863
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 2 751.73 ₸ +2 040.53 ₸ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1208

Steam

×3

Nova | Wild Six

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

1 134.46 ₸

at 378.15

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) — 400.82 ₸ +22.66 ₸ per item · on the market 463 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) — 565.54 ₸ +187.39 ₸ per item · on the market 139 · buy 0.0700–0.0895
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) — 799.38 ₸ +421.23 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×5

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

3 996.92 ₸

at 799.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) — 821.37 ₸ +21.99 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) — 943.41 ₸ +144.03 ₸ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) — 1 301.49 ₸ +502.10 ₸ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 553.79 ₸ +6 213.09 (+94.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1708

711.20 ₸

at 711.20

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 953.37 ₸ +242.17 ₸ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0854
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 2 751.73 ₸ +2 040.53 ₸ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1196

Steam

×5

Nova | Wild Six

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

1 890.76 ₸

at 378.15

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) — 400.82 ₸ +22.66 ₸ per item · on the market 463 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) — 565.54 ₸ +187.39 ₸ per item · on the market 139 · buy 0.0700–0.0888
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) — 799.38 ₸ +421.23 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×4

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

3 197.54 ₸

at 799.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) — 821.37 ₸ +21.99 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) — 943.41 ₸ +144.03 ₸ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) — 1 301.49 ₸ +502.10 ₸ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 799.50 ₸ +3 936.19 (+67.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 117 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

20 988.15 ₸

at 2 332.02

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 5 826.39 ₸ +3 494.37 ₸ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0383
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 24 062.25 ₸ +21 730.23 ₸ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0536

Steam

×1

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

799.38 ₸

at 799.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) — 821.37 ₸ +21.99 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) — 943.41 ₸ +144.03 ₸ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) — 1 301.49 ₸ +502.10 ₸ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 787.54 ₸ +12 197.56 (+56.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 954 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

1 906.74 ₸

at 953.37

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) — 711.20 ₸ cheaper by 242.17 ₸ · on the market 96 · buy 0.1500–0.1501
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 2 751.73 ₸ +1 798.36 ₸ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1051

Steam

×5

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

11 660.08 ₸

at 2 332.02

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 5 826.39 ₸ +3 494.37 ₸ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0375
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 24 062.25 ₸ +21 730.23 ₸ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0525

Steam

×3

Negev | Lionfish

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

2 398.15 ₸

at 799.38

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) — 821.37 ₸ +21.99 ₸ per item · on the market 167 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) — 943.41 ₸ +144.03 ₸ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) — 1 301.49 ₸ +502.10 ₸ per item · on the market 545 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 964.97 ₸ +11 957.76 (+74.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 482.05 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 655.41 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Stymphalian

Factory New

float up to 0.044099

4 040.96 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Mortis

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

5 207.08 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cortex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 882.49 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 523.29 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 709.76 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368452 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 14 559.25₸ · invest 8 075.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −247 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162269 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368309 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 14 192.80₸ · invest 12 158.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −5 683 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Supernova (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368460 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 13 110.70₸ · invest 10 681.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 696 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368737 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12 562.82₸ · invest 8 476.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −4 247 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)
Craft 3368738 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11 907.79₸ · invest 10 097.42₸
profit on prices without salesat least −4 902 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161549 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368428 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 11 574.06₸ · invest 7 499.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 232 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163881 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368746 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 11 335.16₸ · invest 10 061.54₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 471 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.163660
Craft 3368662 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 11 153.35₸ · invest 6 734.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 653 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Negev | Lionfish (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164685 instead of 0.163660

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build