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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 340.19₽

Invest at least 7 994.61₽

Average return 4 654.42₽

ROI −41.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 7 994.61 ₽, profit at most −3 340.19 ₽

float premium: at least 3 503 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 501.08 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 177 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

126.46 ₽

at 126.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 169.52 ₽ +43.06 ₽ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0836
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 489.29 ₽ +362.83 ₽ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1171

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

414.66 ₽

at 414.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 1 036.00 ₽ +621.34 ₽ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0380
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 4 278.55 ₽ +3 863.89 ₽ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×8

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

2 635.44 ₽

at 329.43

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 414.66 ₽ +85.23 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 957.04 ₽ +627.61 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2 908.25 ₽ +2 578.82 ₽ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0760

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 176.56 ₽ +1 477.86 (+46.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 091 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1777

126.46 ₽

at 126.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) — 169.52 ₽ +43.06 ₽ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0700–0.0888
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) — 489.29 ₽ +362.83 ₽ per item · on the market 238 · buy 0.0700–0.1244

Steam

×9

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

2 964.87 ₽

at 329.43

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 414.66 ₽ +85.23 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0796
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 957.04 ₽ +627.61 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0021
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2 908.25 ₽ +2 578.82 ₽ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0796

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 091.33 ₽ +1 322.15 (+42.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 550 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

1 243.98 ₽

at 414.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 1 036.00 ₽ +621.34 ₽ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0394
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 4 278.55 ₽ +3 863.89 ₽ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0552

Steam

×7

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

2 306.01 ₽

at 329.43

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 414.66 ₽ +85.23 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 957.04 ₽ +627.61 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2 908.25 ₽ +2 578.82 ₽ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0789

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 549.99 ₽ +1 345.37 (+37.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 180 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

1 658.64 ₽

at 414.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 1 036.00 ₽ +621.34 ₽ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0393
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 4 278.55 ₽ +3 863.89 ₽ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0551

Steam

×5

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

4 192.30 ₽

at 838.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) — 2 873.65 ₽ +2 035.19 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0152
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 5 692.28 ₽ +4 853.82 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0787

329.43 ₽

at 329.43

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 414.66 ₽ +85.23 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0787
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 957.04 ₽ +627.61 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2 908.25 ₽ +2 578.82 ₽ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0787

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 180.37 ₽ +160.62 (+2.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 671 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

1 658.64 ₽

at 414.66

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Random Access (Factory New) — 1 036.00 ₽ +621.34 ₽ per item · on the market 117 · buy 0.0000–0.0390
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 4 278.55 ₽ +3 863.89 ₽ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

×4

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 353.84 ₽

at 838.46

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) — 2 873.65 ₽ +2 035.19 ₽ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0140
Souvenir Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) — 5 692.28 ₽ +4 853.82 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

souvenirSteam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

658.86 ₽

at 329.43

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear) — 414.66 ₽ +85.23 ₽ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0780
MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 957.04 ₽ +627.61 ₽ per item · on the market 181 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2 908.25 ₽ +2 578.82 ₽ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.0700–0.0780

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 671.34 ₽ +428.71 (+7.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 20%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

2 248.71 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 114.41 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 728.76 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

3 101.81 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

12 888.16 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

2 250.28 ₽ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +626.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 287.58 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build