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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −0.52$

Invest at least 1.00$

Average return 0.48$

ROI −52.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1.00 $, profit at most −0.52 $

float premium: at least 0 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.14 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈21, цена занижена

×7

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1744

0.31 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1599
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1279
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1395

souvenirSteam

×3

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1744

0.09 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 233 · buy 0.1500–0.1744
Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 093 · buy 0.1500–0.1744
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 125 · buy 0.1500–0.1744

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.40 $ +0.08 (+18.6%)

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈79, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1833

0.27 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1680
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 3 997 · buy 0.1500–0.1527
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1344

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1833

0.12 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 233 · buy 0.1500–0.1833
Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 093 · buy 0.1500–0.1833
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 125 · buy 0.1500–0.1833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.39 $ +0.04 (+9.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×8

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.36 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1217
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1328

souvenirSteam

×2

R8 Revolver | Bone Mask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

0.06 $

at 0.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 233 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.03 $ · on the market 2 093 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 0.04 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 2 125 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.42 $ +0.11 (+27.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

0.40 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) — 0.05 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 3 614 · buy 0.1500–0.1518
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 887 · buy 0.0700–0.1214
Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 504 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

0.04 $

at 0.04

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) — 0.05 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 3 877 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 063 · buy 0.0700–0.0717
Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 0.06 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 824 · buy 0.0700–0.0717

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.45 $ +0.14 (+30.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

0.74 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.81 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.80 $ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117499

0.57 $ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Green Apple

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

0.10 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Death Rattle

Field-Tested

float up to 0.184999

0.11 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.019999

0.19 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Caged Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

0.13 $ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.029999

0.13 $ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Bank Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Bank Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Bank Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Bank Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Bank Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build