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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −62.90$

Invest at least 119.12$

Average return 56.21$

ROI −52.8%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 119.12 $, profit at most −62.90 $

float premium: at least 64 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23.35 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2232
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3904

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

19.88 $

at 19.88

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Minimal Wear) — 21.42 $ +1.54 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.1227
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 22.01 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.1500–0.3055

souvenirSteam

×8

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

16.18 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.93 $ +4.29 (+8.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2302
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.4007

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1713

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0556

souvenirSteam

×7

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

14.16 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.05 $ +8.99 (+12.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1009
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2094

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0517
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0699

souvenirSteam

×5

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

10.11 $

at 2.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.35 $ +18.32 (+15.5%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2.96 $ 80.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 10.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.17 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build