The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2291
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3991

souvenirSteam

×5

Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

4.24 $

at 0.85

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear) — 0.91 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 405 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear) — 1.11 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 397 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) — 1.61 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 352 · buy 0.0000–0.0616

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

6.43 $

at 1.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) — 2.06 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) — 2.55 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) — 2.85 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.54 $ +8.54 (+32.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

42.21 $

at 21.11

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.79 $ +2.69 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0700–0.1024
Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2116

Steam

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0721
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

souvenirSteam

×5

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

8.03 $

at 1.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) — 2.06 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) — 2.55 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) — 2.85 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.27 $ +23.56 (+20.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0710
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0525

souvenirSteam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

6.43 $

at 1.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) — 2.06 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) — 2.55 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) — 2.85 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.48 $ +27.54 (+19.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0522

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0687

souvenirSteam

×3

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

4.82 $

at 1.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) — 2.06 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) — 2.55 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) — 2.85 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.55 $ +25.66 (+15.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0519

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0684

souvenirSteam

×2

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3.21 $

at 1.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Connexion (Factory New) — 2.06 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) — 2.55 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Tec-9 | Brother (Factory New) — 2.85 $ +1.25 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 194.62 $ +23.78 (+12.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Vogue

Factory New

float up to 0.065624

11.71 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Factory New

float up to 0.063874

13.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

5.75 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build