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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −202.98$

Invest at least 349.92$

Average return 146.94$

ROI −58.0%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 349.92 $, profit at most −202.98 $

float premium: at least 206 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +17.47 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

110.05 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0514
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

souvenirSteam

×1

AWP | PAW

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3.50 $

at 3.50

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 4.02 $ +0.52 $ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.0700–0.1042
MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 4.95 $ +1.45 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1191
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) — 6.11 $ +2.61 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1489

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 143.37 $ +3.57 (+2.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

souvenirSteam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

29.83 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.88 $ +9.82 (+6.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0517
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0699

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0682

souvenirSteam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

22.37 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.10 $ +12.37 (+6.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0516
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0680

souvenirSteam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

14.91 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.32 $ +14.92 (+7.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0514
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0695

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0679

souvenirSteam

×1

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

7.46 $

at 7.46

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 10.29 $ +2.83 $ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 10.96 $ +3.50 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) — 13.34 $ +5.89 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228.54 $ +17.47 (+7.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 25.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 25.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

34.93 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

25.75 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.01 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 only The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −30.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build