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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −175.08$

Invest at least 332.86$

Average return 157.77$

ROI −52.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 332.86 $, profit at most −175.08 $

float premium: at least 188 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +18.73 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0682

souvenirSteam

×5

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

38.32 $

at 7.66

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.46 $ +3.79 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1067
AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) — 12.26 $ +4.60 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.1067
Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 12.34 $ +4.67 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1067

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

73.61 $

at 18.40

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Parallax (Factory New) — 18.89 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Factory New) — 22.40 $ +3.99 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Nova | Clear Polymer (Factory New) — 22.62 $ +4.21 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.61 $ +16.16 (+11.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0542

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

207.73 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0712
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

3.66 $

at 3.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.01 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1684
SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) — 4.11 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.1500–0.1684
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) — 5.74 $ +2.08 $ per item · on the market 280 · buy 0.1500–0.1684

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 255.41 $ +2.81 (+1.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0716
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

207.73 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0697

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

7.33 $

at 3.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.01 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) — 4.11 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) — 5.74 $ +2.08 $ per item · on the market 280 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.07 $ +8.60 (+3.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

178.05 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0696

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Clear Polymer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

3.66 $

at 3.66

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 4.01 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) — 4.11 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) — 5.74 $ +2.08 $ per item · on the market 280 · buy 0.1500–0.1659

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

22.99 $

at 7.66

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.46 $ +3.79 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) — 12.26 $ +4.60 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 12.34 $ +4.67 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 204.71 $ +15.84 (+7.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

118.70 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0694

souvenirSteam

×2

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

15.33 $

at 7.66

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear) — 11.46 $ +3.79 $ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.0700–0.1077
AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) — 12.26 $ +4.60 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.1077
Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 12.34 $ +4.67 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.1077

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Parallax

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

45.83 $

at 11.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) — 12.26 $ +0.80 $ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
Dual Berettas | Dezastre (Minimal Wear) — 12.34 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) — 12.47 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.0754

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.86 $ +15.58 (+8.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285.98 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Cyber Security

Factory New

float up to 0.055681

138.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Monster Mashup

Factory New

float up to 0.039772

76.15 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.031249

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.32 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build