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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −81.75$

Invest at least 144.14$

Average return 62.39$

ROI −56.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 144.14 $, profit at most −81.75 $

float premium: at least 82 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23.49 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

15.87 $

at 15.87

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) — 19.88 $ +4.00 $ per item · on the market 73 · buy 0.1500–0.2220
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) — 21.23 $ +5.36 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.3800–0.3886

souvenirSteam

×2

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

4.04 $

at 2.02

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) — 2.05 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.1500–0.1591
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) — 4.35 $ +2.33 $ per item · on the market 184 · buy 0.0700–0.1455

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

39.58 $

at 5.65

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +1.64 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New) — 7.41 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.49 $ +2.89 (+4.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0708
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

souvenirSteam

×4

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

22.61 $

at 5.65

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +1.64 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New) — 7.41 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.67 $ +23.49 (+15.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0704
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0687

souvenirSteam

×3

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

16.96 $

at 5.65

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +1.64 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New) — 7.41 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.69 $ +22.62 (+12.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

59.35 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0683

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

11.31 $

at 5.65

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +1.64 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New) — 7.41 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202.71 $ +21.75 (+10.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

132.06 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0516
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +11.00 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0697

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

89.03 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Factory New) — 80.63 $ +50.95 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0600–0.0680

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

5.65 $

at 5.65

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Factory New) — 7.29 $ +1.64 $ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Factory New) — 7.41 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 226.74 $ +20.89 (+9.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AWP | Crakow!

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

47.53 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42.70 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.048124

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build