The 2021 Mirage Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

22.01 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0550

souvenirSteam

×7

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

8.14 $

at 1.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) — 1.24 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) — 1.26 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) — 1.54 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

7.03 $

at 3.52

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) — 3.86 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 4.55 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) — 4.82 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.19 $ +6.62 (+17.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

44.02 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

souvenirSteam

×5

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

5.82 $

at 1.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) — 1.24 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) — 1.26 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) — 1.54 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

10.55 $

at 3.52

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) — 3.86 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 4.55 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) — 4.82 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.38 $ +8.64 (+14.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

66.03 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

souvenirSteam

×3

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

3.49 $

at 1.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) — 1.24 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) — 1.26 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) — 1.54 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

14.06 $

at 3.52

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) — 3.86 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 4.55 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) — 4.82 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.58 $ +10.66 (+12.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1.16 $

at 1.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) — 1.24 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) — 1.26 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) — 1.54 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

17.58 $

at 3.52

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) — 3.86 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 4.55 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) — 4.82 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.78 $ +12.68 (+11.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

88.04 $

at 22.01

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) — 23.18 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0700–0.0732
Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) — 29.68 $ +7.67 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.0000–0.0542

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

29.68 $

at 29.68

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 32.78 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0712
Souvenir AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) — 33.01 $ +3.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

souvenirSteam

×1

SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1.16 $

at 1.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) — 1.24 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) — 1.26 $ +0.10 $ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) — 1.54 $ +0.38 $ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0764

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

14.06 $

at 3.52

if this one runs out, you can take

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) — 3.86 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 86 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) — 4.55 $ +1.04 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) — 4.82 $ +1.31 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.94 $ +11.74 (+8.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 90%

at a loss

AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

24.08 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Justice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17.91 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

408.57 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

214.22 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.85 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build