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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −214.86$

Invest at least 461.30$

Average return 246.44$

ROI −46.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 461.30 $, profit at most −214.86 $

float premium: at least 216 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −80.03 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

143.58 $

at 143.58

if this one runs out, you can take

Souvenir Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) — 151.18 $ +7.60 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.5582

souvenirSteam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

13.47 $

at 6.73

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 6.80 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.2500–0.2741
AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 16.36 $ +9.62 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0917

Steam

×7

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2570

47.61 $

at 6.80

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Momentum (Factory New) — 33.45 $ +26.65 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0500–0.0621
XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) — 35.66 $ +28.86 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.1400–0.1465

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 204.66 $ +41.79 (+20.4%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

91.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Desert Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 243.00 $ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.21 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build